Prediction: Union Minas vs Ayacucho FC
Team pages: Union Minas · Ayacucho FC
- Ayacucho FC1-0Union Minas
- Union Minas3-1Ayacucho FC
- Ayacucho FC2-2Union Minas
| Union Minas | Draw | Ayacucho FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| Market | 65% | 21% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Minas (rating 1557 vs 1477).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Minas | Ayacucho FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.8 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 1.3 | 4.6 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Minas 1–1–1 Ayacucho FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/26 Peru Liga 2 | Ayacucho FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Union Minas |
| 15/08/26 Peru Liga 2 | Union Minas | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Ayacucho FC |
| 02/05/26 Peru Liga 2 | Ayacucho FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Union Minas |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Union Minas | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Ayacucho FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| 4 | Pirata FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Minas | Ayacucho FC |
|---|---|---|
| Pirata FC | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Union Comercio | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Sport Huancayo II | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Comerciantes FC | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Deportivo Binacional | 8-1 W | 7-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Minas (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Minas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/10 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/10 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 13 | W |
| 26/09 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
3-0 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
Ayacucho FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 12/10 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/10 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
2-1 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Minas vs Ayacucho FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Minas win (66%). Probabilities: Union Minas 66%, draw 20%, Ayacucho FC 14%.
How many goals are expected in Union Minas vs Ayacucho FC?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Union Minas 2.39 · Ayacucho FC 1.06), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Minas vs Ayacucho FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.