Prediction: Pirata FC vs Union Comercio
Team pages: Pirata FC · Union Comercio
- Union Comercio2-0Pirata FC
- Pirata FC1-2Union Comercio
- Union Comercio1-2Pirata FC
- Union Comercio4-1Pirata FC
- Pirata FC0-2Union Comercio
- Union Comercio4-2Pirata FC
| Pirata FC | Draw | Union Comercio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Comercio (rating 1476 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Union Comercio: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pirata FC | Union Comercio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pirata FC 1–0–5 Union Comercio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/26 Peru Liga 2 | Union Comercio | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pirata FC |
| 17/08/26 Peru Liga 2 | Pirata FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Union Comercio |
| 03/05/26 Peru Liga 2 | Union Comercio | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Pirata FC |
| 24/07/22 Peru Liga 2 | Union Comercio | 4-1 | Pirata FC |
| 23/04/22 Peru Liga 2 | Pirata FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Union Comercio |
| 10/08/21 Peru Liga 2 | Union Comercio | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Pirata FC |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Union Minas | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Ayacucho FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| 4 | Pirata FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pirata FC | Union Comercio |
|---|---|---|
| Union Minas | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Ayacucho FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Carlos Manucci | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Club Ada Jaen | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Comercio (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pirata FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/10 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/10 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/08 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/07 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Union Comercio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 12/10 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/10 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 13 | L |
| 27/09 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/08 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pirata FC vs Union Comercio?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Comercio win (42%). Probabilities: Pirata FC 30%, draw 29%, Union Comercio 42%.
How many goals are expected in Pirata FC vs Union Comercio?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Pirata FC 1.1 · Union Comercio 1.35), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pirata FC vs Union Comercio?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.