Football · Uruguay Clausura · 20/09, 18:00
Prediction: Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers
Team pages: Danubio · Montevideo Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Danubio1.21
Montevideo Wanderers0.97
1X2
Danubio
Draw
Montevideo Wanderers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Danubio
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Montevideo Wanderers
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Danubio
1–3–2
Montevideo Wanderers
(6 last)
- Montevideo Wanderers0-0Danubio
- Montevideo Wanderers2-1Danubio
- Montevideo Wanderers0-2Danubio
- Danubio2-2Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers2-2Danubio
- Danubio0-2Montevideo Wanderers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Montevideo Wanderers: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Danubio | Montevideo Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.8 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 5.7 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Danubio 1–3–2 Montevideo Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Montevideo Wanderers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 21/03/26 Uruguay Apertura | Montevideo Wanderers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Danubio |
| 06/09/25 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Danubio |
| 16/03/25 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 29/09/24 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 24/03/24 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Montevideo Wanderers |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Danubio | Montevideo Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Boston River | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| CA River Plate | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 08/11 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/11 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/10 | CA River Plate Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
Montevideo Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/11 | CA River Plate Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 01/11 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 26/10 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Danubio win (40%). Probabilities: Danubio 40%, draw 32%, Montevideo Wanderers 28%.
How many goals are expected in Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Danubio 1.21 · Montevideo Wanderers 0.97), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.