Football · Uruguay Clausura · 27/09, 23:00
Prediction: Defensor Sporting vs Danubio
Team pages: Defensor Sporting · Danubio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Defensor Sporting1.12
Danubio0.82
1X2
Defensor Sporting
Draw
Danubio
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensor Sporting
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Danubio
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensor Sporting
3–3–0
Danubio
(6 last)
- Danubio0-0Defensor Sporting
- Defensor Sporting2-1Danubio
- Danubio1-1Defensor Sporting
- Danubio1-1Defensor Sporting
- Defensor Sporting1-0Danubio
- Defensor Sporting1-0Danubio
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensor Sporting: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensor Sporting | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 3.1 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensor Sporting 3–3–0 Danubio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 20/09/25 Uruguay Clausura | Defensor Sporting | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Danubio |
| 27/03/25 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Defensor Sporting |
| 05/10/24 Uruguay Clausura | Danubio | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 30/03/24 Uruguay Apertura | Defensor Sporting | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 14/03/24 Uruguay Cup | Defensor Sporting | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensor Sporting | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Montevideo Wanderers | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Penarol | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensor Sporting
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 09/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 09/11 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 02/11 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 08/11 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/11 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/10 | CA River Plate Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensor Sporting vs Danubio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensor Sporting win (41%). Probabilities: Defensor Sporting 41%, draw 34%, Danubio 25%.
How many goals are expected in Defensor Sporting vs Danubio?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Defensor Sporting 1.12 · Danubio 0.82), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensor Sporting vs Danubio?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.