Football · Uruguay Clausura · 21/09, 01:00
Prediction: Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Club de Montevideo
Team pages: Liverpool Montevideo · Racing Club de Montevideo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Liverpool Montevideo1.25
Racing Club de Montevideo0.99
1X2
Liverpool Montevideo
Draw
Racing Club de Montevideo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Liverpool Montevideo
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Racing Club de Montevideo
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Liverpool Montevideo
0–5–1
Racing Club de Montevideo
(6 last)
- Liverpool Montevideo0-0Racing Club de Montevideo
- Racing Club de Montevideo1-0Liverpool Montevideo
- Liverpool Montevideo2-2Racing Club de Montevideo
- Racing Club de Montevideo1-1Liverpool Montevideo
- Liverpool Montevideo1-1Racing Club de Montevideo
- Racing Club de Montevideo2-2Liverpool Montevideo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liverpool Montevideo 1544 · Racing Club de Montevideo 1521
| Liverpool Montevideo | Draw | Racing Club de Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Liverpool Montevideo | Racing Club de Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.8 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liverpool Montevideo 0–5–1 Racing Club de Montevideo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Liverpool Montevideo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
| 21/03/26 Uruguay Apertura | Racing Club de Montevideo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Liverpool Montevideo |
| 11/10/25 Uruguay Clausura | Liverpool Montevideo | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
| 14/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Racing Club de Montevideo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Liverpool Montevideo |
| 17/08/24 Uruguay Clausura | Liverpool Montevideo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
| 18/02/24 Uruguay Apertura | Racing Club de Montevideo | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Liverpool Montevideo |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Club de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Liverpool Montevideo | Racing Club de Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Cerro Largo | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Cerro | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Albion FC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Juventud De Las Piedras | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liverpool Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 07/09 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 4-0 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 07/11 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/11 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 26/10 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 21/10 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Racing Club de Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/08 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 07/11 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 02/11 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/10 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 20/10 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Club de Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Liverpool Montevideo win (41%). Probabilities: Liverpool Montevideo 41%, draw 31%, Racing Club de Montevideo 28%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Club de Montevideo?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Liverpool Montevideo 1.25 · Racing Club de Montevideo 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Club de Montevideo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.