Football · Uruguay Clausura · 26/09, 20:00
Prediction: Cerro Largo vs Nacional De Football
Team pages: Cerro Largo · Nacional De Football
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Cerro Largo0.95
Nacional De Football1.21
1X2
Cerro Largo
Draw
Nacional De Football
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Cerro Largo
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Nacional De Football
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cerro Largo
0–1–5
Nacional De Football
(6 last)
- Nacional De Football3-0Cerro Largo
- Nacional De Football1-1Cerro Largo
- Nacional De Football2-1Cerro Largo
- Cerro Largo0-4Nacional De Football
- Cerro Largo0-1Nacional De Football
- Cerro Largo0-4Nacional De Football
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nacional De Football (rating 1459 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Nacional De Football: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerro Largo | Nacional De Football | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 2.4 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerro Largo 0–1–5 Nacional De Football
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Uruguay Apertura | Nacional De Football | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cerro Largo |
| 18/01/26 Uruguay Copa de la Liga | Nacional De Football | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cerro Largo |
| 04/10/25 Uruguay Clausura | Nacional De Football | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cerro Largo |
| 06/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro Largo | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Nacional De Football |
| 13/10/24 Uruguay Clausura | Cerro Largo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nacional De Football |
| 23/06/24 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Cerro Largo | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Nacional De Football |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerro Largo | Nacional De Football |
|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Juventud De Las Piedras | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Racing Club de Montevideo | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerro Largo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 07/11 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/11 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 25/10 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
Nacional De Football
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 3-2 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 09/11 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 01/11 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 26/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerro Largo vs Nacional De Football?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nacional De Football win (41%). Probabilities: Cerro Largo 27%, draw 32%, Nacional De Football 41%.
How many goals are expected in Cerro Largo vs Nacional De Football?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Cerro Largo 0.95 · Nacional De Football 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerro Largo vs Nacional De Football?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.