Football · Uruguay Clausura · 27/09, 20:00
Prediction: Juventud De Las Piedras vs Cerro
Team pages: Juventud De Las Piedras · Cerro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Juventud De Las Piedras1.34
Cerro0.64
1X2
Juventud De Las Piedras
Draw
Cerro
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Juventud De Las Piedras
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Cerro
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juventud De Las Piedras
2–2–2
Cerro
(6 last)
- Cerro1-0Juventud De Las Piedras
- Juventud De Las Piedras1-0Cerro
- Cerro2-1Juventud De Las Piedras
- Juventud De Las Piedras1-1Cerro
- Cerro0-1Juventud De Las Piedras
- Juventud De Las Piedras2-2Cerro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juventud De Las Piedras 1531 · Cerro 1514
| Juventud De Las Piedras | Draw | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 31% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juventud De Las Piedras | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.5 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud De Las Piedras 2–2–2 Cerro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Juventud De Las Piedras |
| 31/08/25 Uruguay Clausura | Juventud De Las Piedras | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cerro |
| 08/03/25 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Juventud De Las Piedras |
| 25/08/22 Uruguay Segunda | Juventud De Las Piedras | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cerro |
| 29/05/22 Uruguay Segunda | Cerro | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Juventud De Las Piedras |
| 09/04/22 Uruguay Segunda | Juventud De Las Piedras | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Cerro |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Juventud De Las Piedras | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Albion FC | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Danubio | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Nacional De Football | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Atletico Progreso | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juventud De Las Piedras
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/11 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 25/10 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Cerro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 09/11 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 25/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juventud De Las Piedras vs Cerro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventud De Las Piedras win (54%). Probabilities: Juventud De Las Piedras 54%, draw 29%, Cerro 17%.
How many goals are expected in Juventud De Las Piedras vs Cerro?
The model expects 1.98 goals (Juventud De Las Piedras 1.34 · Cerro 0.64), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Juventud De Las Piedras vs Cerro?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.