Football · Iraq Stars League · 18/09, 17:45
Prediction: Al Minaa vs Duhok
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Al Minaa1.13
Duhok1.25
1X2
Al Minaa
Draw
Duhok
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Minaa
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Duhok
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Minaa
0–4–2
Duhok
(6 last)
- Al Minaa1-1Duhok
- Duhok1-0Al Minaa
- Duhok3-1Al Minaa
- Duhok1-1Al Minaa
- Al Minaa1-1Duhok
- Duhok4-4Al Minaa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Minaa 1483 · Duhok 1503
| Al Minaa | Draw | Duhok | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Market | 32% | 30% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Duhok: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Minaa | Duhok | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Minaa 0–4–2 Duhok
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Iraq Stars League | Al Minaa | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Duhok |
| 09/01/26 Iraq Stars League | Duhok | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Al Minaa |
| 08/07/25 Iraq Cup | Duhok | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Al Minaa |
| 17/06/25 Iraq Stars League | Duhok | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Al Minaa |
| 24/01/25 Iraq Stars League | Al Minaa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Duhok |
| 01/07/24 Iraq League | Duhok | 4-4 HT 2-1 | Al Minaa |
Standings · Iraq Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Erbil SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Al Naft SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Shorta SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Newroz SC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Al Talaba | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Jolan SC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | Zakho | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Duhok | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Diyala FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 12 | Mosul FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Al Minaa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahrabaa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 17 | Naft Maysan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Karbalaa FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 5 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 20 | Al Karkh | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Minaa | Duhok |
|---|---|---|
| Al Kahrabaa | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Al Naft SC | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Al Gharraf | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Al Talaba | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Minaa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Al Kahrabaa Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/09 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 26/08 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 02/06 | Al Shorta SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Duhok
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Al Karkh Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/09 | Ghaz Al Shamal Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 03/09 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | Newroz SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/08 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 01/06 | Diyala FC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/05 | Al Kahrabaa Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/05 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Minaa vs Duhok?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Duhok win (38%). Probabilities: Al Minaa 32%, draw 30%, Duhok 38%.
How many goals are expected in Al Minaa vs Duhok?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Al Minaa 1.13 · Duhok 1.25), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Minaa vs Duhok?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.