Prediction: Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diyala FC
Team pages: Al Quwa Al Jawiya · Diyala FC
- Diyala FC0-1Al Quwa Al Jawiya
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya2-1Diyala FC
- Diyala FC2-1Al Quwa Al Jawiya
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya1-1Diyala FC
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Draw | Diyala FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Quwa Al Jawiya (rating 1513 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Al Quwa Al Jawiya: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Diyala FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 1.2 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–1–1 Diyala FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Iraq Stars League | Diyala FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
| 30/10/25 Iraq Stars League | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Diyala FC |
| 16/04/25 Iraq Stars League | Diyala FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
| 26/10/24 Iraq League | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Diyala FC |
Standings · Iraq Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Zawra'a | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Erbil SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | Al Karma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Naft SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Newroz SC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Al Talaba | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Jolan SC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Al Minaa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Zakho | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | Diyala FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Mosul FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahrabaa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbalaa FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Diyala FC |
|---|---|---|
| Duhok | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Erbil SC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Al Talaba | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Al Karma | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Diyala FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Karbalaa FC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/09 | Duhok Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 25/08 | Ghaz Al Shamal Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 21/08 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/05 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Al Karma Iraq Stars League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
Diyala FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 08/09 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 03/09 | Al Karma Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Al Jolan SC Iraq Stars League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/08 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Mosul FC Iraq Stars League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Duhok Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Al Karma Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Amanat Baghdad Iraq Stars League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diyala FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win (50%). Probabilities: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50%, draw 27%, Diyala FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diyala FC?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.65 · Diyala FC 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diyala FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.