Prediction: La Fiorita vs SS Murata
Team pages: La Fiorita · SS Murata
- SS Murata0-2La Fiorita
- La Fiorita1-2SS Murata
- SS Murata0-3La Fiorita
- La Fiorita3-1SS Murata
- La Fiorita2-0SS Murata
- SS Murata0-3La Fiorita
| La Fiorita | Draw | SS Murata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 82% | 11% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours La Fiorita (rating 1533 vs 1374).
- H2H favours La Fiorita: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| La Fiorita | SS Murata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.8 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/10/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · La Fiorita 5–0–1 SS Murata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 San Marino Campionato | SS Murata | 0-2 HT 0-1 | La Fiorita |
| 10/12/25 San Marino Cup | La Fiorita | 1-2 HT 0-1 | SS Murata |
| 26/11/25 San Marino Cup | SS Murata | 0-3 HT 0-0 | La Fiorita |
| 21/09/25 San Marino Campionato | La Fiorita | 3-1 HT 0-0 | SS Murata |
| 27/04/25 San Marino Campionato | La Fiorita | 2-0 HT 1-0 | SS Murata |
| 11/01/25 San Marino Campionato | SS Murata | 0-3 HT 0-1 | La Fiorita |
Standings · San Marino Campionato
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Folgore/Falciano | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | SS Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Tre Fiori | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Tre Penne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | SS Cosmos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | La Fiorita | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | SP Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | AC Libertas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | FC Fiorentino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | SS San Giovanni | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | SS Murata | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 12 | Juvenes/Dogana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Pennarossa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | SC Faetano | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | SP Cailungo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | La Fiorita | SS Murata |
|---|---|---|
| FC Fiorentino | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| SS Virtus | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Tre Penne | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: La Fiorita (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
La Fiorita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/09 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
SS Murata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | SS San Giovanni San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Pennarossa San Marino Campionato |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/04 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Pennarossa San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in La Fiorita vs SS Murata?
According to our model, the most likely result is a La Fiorita win (81%). Probabilities: La Fiorita 81%, draw 13%, SS Murata 6%.
How many goals are expected in La Fiorita vs SS Murata?
The model expects 3.24 goals (La Fiorita 2.62 · SS Murata 0.62), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in La Fiorita vs SS Murata?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.