Football · San Marino Campionato · 10/10, 15:00
Prediction: SC Faetano vs FC Fiorentino
Team pages: SC Faetano · FC Fiorentino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
SC Faetano0.76
FC Fiorentino1.85
1X2
SC Faetano
Draw
FC Fiorentino
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
SC Faetano
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
FC Fiorentino
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SC Faetano
2–4
FC Fiorentino
(6 last)
- FC Fiorentino1-2SC Faetano
- SC Faetano0-3FC Fiorentino
- SC Faetano2-3FC Fiorentino
- FC Fiorentino1-0SC Faetano
- FC Fiorentino1-3SC Faetano
- SC Faetano0-1FC Fiorentino
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SC Faetano 1408 · FC Fiorentino 1471
| SC Faetano | Draw | FC Fiorentino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 24% | 62% |
| Market | 15% | 22% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fiorentino (rating 1408 vs 1471).
- H2H favours FC Fiorentino: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Faetano | FC Fiorentino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.1 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Faetano 2–0–4 FC Fiorentino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 San Marino Campionato | FC Fiorentino | 1-2 HT 1-1 | SC Faetano |
| 13/12/25 San Marino Campionato | SC Faetano | 0-3 HT 0-2 | FC Fiorentino |
| 27/04/25 San Marino Campionato | SC Faetano | 2-3 HT 2-0 | FC Fiorentino |
| 11/01/25 San Marino Campionato | FC Fiorentino | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SC Faetano |
| 14/04/24 San Marino Campionato | FC Fiorentino | 1-3 HT 0-2 | SC Faetano |
| 06/01/24 San Marino Campionato | SC Faetano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Fiorentino |
Standings · San Marino Campionato
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Folgore/Falciano | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | SS Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Tre Fiori | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Tre Penne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | SS Cosmos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | La Fiorita | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | SP Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | AC Libertas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | FC Fiorentino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | SS San Giovanni | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | SS Murata | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 12 | Juvenes/Dogana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Pennarossa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | SC Faetano | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | SP Cailungo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Faetano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | AC Libertas San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 04/09 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | SS San Giovanni San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/03 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
FC Fiorentino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Pennarossa San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 11/09 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28/08 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | SS Murata San Marino Campionato |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | SC Faetano San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/04 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Faetano vs FC Fiorentino?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Fiorentino win (63%). Probabilities: SC Faetano 14%, draw 23%, FC Fiorentino 63%.
How many goals are expected in SC Faetano vs FC Fiorentino?
The model expects 2.61 goals (SC Faetano 0.76 · FC Fiorentino 1.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Faetano vs FC Fiorentino?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.