Football · San Marino Campionato · 11/10, 15:00
Prediction: SS Virtus vs San Marino Academy U22
Team pages: SS Virtus · San Marino Academy U22
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
SS Virtus2.33
San Marino Academy U220.49
1X2
SS Virtus
Draw
San Marino Academy U22
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
SS Virtus
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
San Marino Academy U22
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SS Virtus
6–0
San Marino Academy U22
(6 last)
- SS Virtus3-0San Marino Academy U22
- San Marino Academy U220-2SS Virtus
- SS Virtus2-0San Marino Academy U22
- San Marino Academy U221-3SS Virtus
- SS Virtus3-2San Marino Academy U22
- San Marino Academy U220-3SS Virtus
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SS Virtus 1599 · San Marino Academy U22 1416
| SS Virtus | Draw | San Marino Academy U22 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 16% | 5% |
| Market | 80% | 13% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SS Virtus (rating 1599 vs 1416).
- H2H favours SS Virtus: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SS Virtus | San Marino Academy U22 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SS Virtus 6–0–0 San Marino Academy U22
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 San Marino Campionato | SS Virtus | 3-0 HT 1-0 | San Marino Academy U22 |
| 04/10/25 San Marino Campionato | San Marino Academy U22 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | SS Virtus |
| 09/03/25 San Marino Campionato | SS Virtus | 2-0 HT 1-0 | San Marino Academy U22 |
| 09/11/24 San Marino Campionato | San Marino Academy U22 | 1-3 HT 0-2 | SS Virtus |
| 17/02/24 San Marino Campionato | SS Virtus | 3-2 HT 2-2 | San Marino Academy U22 |
| 22/10/23 San Marino Campionato | San Marino Academy U22 | 0-3 HT 0-1 | SS Virtus |
Standings · San Marino Campionato
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Folgore/Falciano | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Tre Penne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | SS Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | SS Cosmos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | La Fiorita | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | SP Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | AC Libertas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | FC Fiorentino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | SP Cailungo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | SS Murata | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 12 | SS San Giovanni | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 13 | Juvenes/Dogana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Pennarossa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 15 | San Marino Academy U22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | SC Faetano | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SS Virtus | San Marino Academy U22 |
|---|---|---|
| FC Fiorentino | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| La Fiorita | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| SP Domagnano | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Juvenes/Dogana | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: SS Virtus (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SS Virtus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | AC Libertas San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 04/09 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | AC Libertas San Marino Campionato |
4-0 | 9-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
San Marino Academy U22
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | SC Faetano San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 06/09 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | SP Cailungo San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | SS San Giovanni San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/04 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SS Virtus vs San Marino Academy U22?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SS Virtus win (79%). Probabilities: SS Virtus 79%, draw 14%, San Marino Academy U22 6%.
How many goals are expected in SS Virtus vs San Marino Academy U22?
The model expects 2.82 goals (SS Virtus 2.33 · San Marino Academy U22 0.49), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SS Virtus vs San Marino Academy U22?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.