Football · San Marino Campionato · 23/10, 21:15

Prediction: San Marino Academy U22 vs SS Cosmos

Team pages: San Marino Academy U22 · SS Cosmos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

San Marino Academy U220.57

SS Cosmos1.75

1X2

12% 22% 66%

San Marino Academy U22 Draw SS Cosmos

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-1 16%

Recent form · 10 last

San Marino Academy U22 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

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SS Cosmos 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

San Marino Academy U22 1–5 SS Cosmos (6 last)

SS Cosmos1-0San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Academy U221-3SS Cosmos
SS Cosmos4-2San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Academy U223-2SS Cosmos
San Marino Academy U220-5SS Cosmos
SS Cosmos4-0San Marino Academy U22

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Marino Academy U22 1409 · SS Cosmos 1564

	San Marino Academy U22	Draw	SS Cosmos
Our model	11%	24%	65%
Market	13%	20%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SS Cosmos (rating 1409 vs 1564).
H2H favours SS Cosmos: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Marino Academy U22	SS Cosmos
Goals for / against (FT)	0.2 / 1.8	1.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.3	1.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

17.00

X4.50

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:09 +3’	7.00	4.50	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Marino Academy U22 1–0–5 SS Cosmos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 San Marino Campionato	SS Cosmos	1-0 HT 0-0	San Marino Academy U22
26/10/25 San Marino Campionato	San Marino Academy U22	1-3 HT 0-3	SS Cosmos
26/04/25 San Marino Campionato	SS Cosmos	4-2 HT 1-1	San Marino Academy U22
12/01/25 San Marino Campionato	San Marino Academy U22	3-2 HT 3-1	SS Cosmos
09/03/24 San Marino Campionato	San Marino Academy U22	0-5 HT 0-1	SS Cosmos
25/11/23 San Marino Campionato	SS Cosmos	4-0 HT 2-0	San Marino Academy U22

Standings · San Marino Campionato

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SS Folgore/Falciano	5	5	0	0	15	2	15
2	Tre Penne	5	5	0	0	11	2	15
3	SS Virtus	5	4	1	0	11	2	13
4	Tre Fiori	5	4	0	1	15	5	12
5	SS Cosmos	5	3	1	1	10	4	10
6	La Fiorita	5	2	3	0	7	3	9
7	AC Libertas	5	2	2	1	6	6	8
8	FC Fiorentino	5	2	1	2	10	5	7
9	SP Domagnano	5	2	0	3	7	8	6
10	SP Cailungo	5	1	0	4	5	7	3
11	SS Murata	5	1	0	4	4	13	3
12	SS San Giovanni	5	1	0	4	4	11	3
13	Juvenes/Dogana	5	1	0	4	6	7	3
14	Pennarossa	5	1	0	4	8	21	3
15	San Marino Academy U22	5	0	2	3	1	10	2
16	SC Faetano	5	0	2	3	1	15	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Marino Academy U22	SS Cosmos
SC Faetano	0-0 D	2-0 W
La Fiorita	1-1 D	1-3 L
Juvenes/Dogana	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SS Cosmos (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Marino Academy U22

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	SS Virtus San Marino Campionato	0-4	0-5	5	0	L
19/09	SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
13/09	SC Faetano San Marino Campionato	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
06/09	La Fiorita San Marino Campionato	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
28/08	FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
25/04	SP Cailungo San Marino Campionato	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/04	SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato	0-2	0-3	11	2	L
11/04	SS San Giovanni San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
07/04	FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-3	9	4	L
22/03	Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato	0-0	0-0	7	7	D

SS Cosmos

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
18/09	SS Murata San Marino Campionato	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
13/09	Pennarossa San Marino Campionato	3-0	6-1	1	5	W
04/09	Tre Penne San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-2	3	11	L
29/08	AC Libertas San Marino Campionato	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
06/05	Tre Penne San Marino Campionato	0-0	0-0	4	10	D
03/05	Tre Penne San Marino Campionato	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
29/04	Pennarossa San Marino Campionato	1-0	3-0	2	7	W
26/04	SC Faetano San Marino Campionato	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/04	La Fiorita San Marino Campionato	1-3	1-3	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Marino Academy U22 vs SS Cosmos?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SS Cosmos win (66%). Probabilities: San Marino Academy U22 12%, draw 22%, SS Cosmos 66%.

How many goals are expected in San Marino Academy U22 vs SS Cosmos?

The model expects 2.32 goals (San Marino Academy U22 0.57 · SS Cosmos 1.75), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in San Marino Academy U22 vs SS Cosmos?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.