Football · San Marino Campionato · 01/11, 15:00

Prediction: SS San Giovanni vs SC Faetano

Team pages: SS San Giovanni · SC Faetano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

SS San Giovanni1.44

SC Faetano0.93

1X2

49% 27% 24%

SS San Giovanni Draw SC Faetano

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

SS San Giovanni 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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SC Faetano 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SS San Giovanni 3–1–2 SC Faetano (6 last)

SS San Giovanni2-0SC Faetano
SC Faetano1-0SS San Giovanni
SC Faetano3-3SS San Giovanni
SS San Giovanni2-0SC Faetano
SC Faetano1-2SS San Giovanni
SS San Giovanni0-2SC Faetano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SS San Giovanni 1430 · SC Faetano 1402

	SS San Giovanni	Draw	SC Faetano
Our model	48%	29%	23%
Market	50%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SS San Giovanni: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SS San Giovanni	SC Faetano
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.2	0.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.4	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.3	1.7 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.50

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:52 +7’	1.80	3.50	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SS San Giovanni 3–1–2 SC Faetano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 San Marino Campionato	SS San Giovanni	2-0 HT 0-0	SC Faetano
30/11/25 San Marino Campionato	SC Faetano	1-0 HT 0-0	SS San Giovanni
01/02/25 San Marino Campionato	SC Faetano	3-3 HT 1-2	SS San Giovanni
29/09/24 San Marino Campionato	SS San Giovanni	2-0 HT 1-0	SC Faetano
09/03/24 San Marino Campionato	SC Faetano	1-2 HT 1-1	SS San Giovanni
25/11/23 San Marino Campionato	SS San Giovanni	0-2 HT 0-1	SC Faetano

Standings · San Marino Campionato

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SS Folgore/Falciano	6	6	0	0	17	3	18
2	SS Virtus	6	5	1	0	12	2	16
3	Tre Penne	6	5	1	0	11	2	16
4	Tre Fiori	6	4	1	1	15	5	13
5	SS Cosmos	6	4	1	1	14	4	13
6	La Fiorita	6	2	4	0	7	3	10
7	FC Fiorentino	6	2	2	2	11	6	8
8	AC Libertas	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
9	SP Domagnano	6	2	1	3	9	10	7
10	SP Cailungo	7	1	2	4	7	9	5
11	SS San Giovanni	6	1	1	4	6	13	4
12	SS Murata	6	1	1	4	6	15	4
13	Pennarossa	6	1	1	4	10	23	4
14	Juvenes/Dogana	7	1	1	5	7	9	4
15	SC Faetano	6	0	3	3	1	15	3
16	San Marino Academy U22	6	0	2	4	1	14	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SS San Giovanni	SC Faetano
Tre Fiori	0-1 L	0-4 L
SP Domagnano	0-4 L	0-1 L
San Marino Academy U22	1-0 W	0-0 D
La Fiorita	0-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SS San Giovanni

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Pennarossa San Marino Campionato	1-1	2-2	3	8	D
10/10	Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
20/09	SP Cailungo San Marino Campionato	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
12/09	SS Murata San Marino Campionato	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
04/09	SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato	0-3	0-4	0	0	L
29/08	Tre Penne San Marino Campionato	1-2	2-3	0	5	L
26/04	Tre Penne San Marino Campionato	0-2	0-4	1	5	L
18/04	SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato	0-2	0-2	1	0	L
11/04	San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
07/04	La Fiorita San Marino Campionato	0-2	0-3	4	1	L

SC Faetano

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	La Fiorita San Marino Campionato	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/10	FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato	0-4	0-6	4	3	L
18/09	AC Libertas San Marino Campionato	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
13/09	San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
04/09	Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-4	3	5	L
28/08	Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
26/04	SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
19/04	Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
11/04	FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/04	SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-1	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SS San Giovanni vs SC Faetano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SS San Giovanni win (49%). Probabilities: SS San Giovanni 49%, draw 27%, SC Faetano 24%.

How many goals are expected in SS San Giovanni vs SC Faetano?

The model expects 2.37 goals (SS San Giovanni 1.44 · SC Faetano 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SS San Giovanni vs SC Faetano?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.