Football · San Marino Campionato · 31/10, 15:00
Prediction: Tre Fiori vs SS Murata
Team pages: Tre Fiori · SS Murata
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.04Total
Tre Fiori2.87
SS Murata1.17
1X2
Tre Fiori
Draw
SS Murata
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Tre Fiori
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
SS Murata
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tre Fiori
4–1–1
SS Murata
(6 last)
- SS Murata0-3Tre Fiori
- Tre Fiori4-0SS Murata
- Tre Fiori2-0SS Murata
- SS Murata0-2Tre Fiori
- SS Murata2-1Tre Fiori
- Tre Fiori0-0SS Murata
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tre Fiori (rating 1587 vs 1387).
- H2H favours Tre Fiori: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tre Fiori | SS Murata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.6 | 1 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tre Fiori 4–1–1 SS Murata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 San Marino Campionato | SS Murata | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Tre Fiori |
| 06/12/25 San Marino Campionato | Tre Fiori | 4-0 HT 2-0 | SS Murata |
| 01/03/25 San Marino Campionato | Tre Fiori | 2-0 HT 2-0 | SS Murata |
| 02/11/24 San Marino Campionato | SS Murata | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Tre Fiori |
| 30/04/24 San Marino Campionato | SS Murata | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Tre Fiori |
| 27/04/24 San Marino Campionato | Tre Fiori | 0-0 HT 0-0 | SS Murata |
Standings · San Marino Campionato
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Folgore/Falciano | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | SS Virtus | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | SS Cosmos | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | La Fiorita | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Fiorentino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | AC Libertas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | SP Domagnano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | SP Cailungo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 11 | SS San Giovanni | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 12 | SS Murata | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
| 13 | Pennarossa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 4 |
| 14 | Juvenes/Dogana | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 15 | SC Faetano | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 3 |
| 16 | San Marino Academy U22 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tre Fiori | SS Murata |
|---|---|---|
| SS San Giovanni | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| SS Virtus | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| SP Domagnano | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Pennarossa | 5-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tre Fiori (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tre Fiori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | SS San Giovanni San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | SC Faetano San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Pennarossa San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Pennarossa San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 19/04 | SC Faetano San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | AC Libertas San Marino Campionato |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/04 | SS Murata San Marino Campionato |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
SS Murata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 18/09 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | SS San Giovanni San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Pennarossa San Marino Campionato |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/04 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tre Fiori vs SS Murata?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tre Fiori win (72%). Probabilities: Tre Fiori 72%, draw 16%, SS Murata 12%.
How many goals are expected in Tre Fiori vs SS Murata?
The model expects 4.04 goals (Tre Fiori 2.87 · SS Murata 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Tre Fiori vs SS Murata?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.