Football · San Marino Campionato · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: San Marino Academy U22 vs SS San Giovanni

Team pages: San Marino Academy U22 · SS San Giovanni

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

San Marino Academy U221.03

SS San Giovanni1.42

1X2

27% 27% 46%

San Marino Academy U22 Draw SS San Giovanni

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

San Marino Academy U22 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

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SS San Giovanni 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

San Marino Academy U22 0–3–3 SS San Giovanni (6 last)

SS San Giovanni1-0San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Academy U221-1SS San Giovanni
SS San Giovanni1-1San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Academy U222-2SS San Giovanni
San Marino Academy U220-5SS San Giovanni
SS San Giovanni3-1San Marino Academy U22

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Marino Academy U22 1427 · SS San Giovanni 1447

	San Marino Academy U22	Draw	SS San Giovanni
Our model	26%	29%	45%
Market	28%	25%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SS San Giovanni: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Marino Academy U22	SS San Giovanni
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 2	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.2	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.4	1.2 / 1.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.50

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:59 +58’	3.20	3.50	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Marino Academy U22 0–3–3 SS San Giovanni

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 San Marino Campionato	SS San Giovanni	1-0 HT 1-0	San Marino Academy U22
13/12/25 San Marino Campionato	San Marino Academy U22	1-1 HT 0-1	SS San Giovanni
15/02/25 San Marino Campionato	SS San Giovanni	1-1 HT 0-0	San Marino Academy U22
19/10/24 San Marino Campionato	San Marino Academy U22	2-2 HT 2-1	SS San Giovanni
21/01/24 San Marino Campionato	San Marino Academy U22	0-5 HT 0-4	SS San Giovanni
17/09/23 San Marino Campionato	SS San Giovanni	3-1 HT 1-0	San Marino Academy U22

Standings · San Marino Campionato

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SS Folgore/Falciano	8	7	1	0	20	4	22
2	SS Virtus	8	6	1	1	13	4	19
3	Tre Penne	7	5	2	0	12	3	17
4	La Fiorita	8	4	4	0	10	4	16
5	Tre Fiori	7	5	1	1	16	5	16
6	SS Cosmos	8	5	1	2	17	6	16
7	SP Domagnano	8	3	1	4	11	11	10
8	FC Fiorentino	7	2	2	3	11	8	8
9	AC Libertas	7	2	2	3	7	9	8
10	Juvenes/Dogana	8	2	1	5	8	9	7
11	SS San Giovanni	7	2	1	4	8	14	7
12	SP Cailungo	7	1	2	4	7	9	5
13	Pennarossa	8	1	2	5	11	25	5
14	SS Murata	7	1	1	5	6	16	4
15	San Marino Academy U22	7	0	3	4	2	15	3
16	SC Faetano	8	0	3	5	2	19	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Marino Academy U22	SS San Giovanni
Pennarossa	1-1 D	2-2 D
SC Faetano	0-0 D	2-1 W
SP Cailungo	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Marino Academy U22

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Pennarossa San Marino Campionato	0-0	1-1	0	1	D
23/10	SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato	0-2	0-4	3	3	L
11/10	SS Virtus San Marino Campionato	0-4	0-5	5	0	L
19/09	SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
13/09	SC Faetano San Marino Campionato	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
06/09	La Fiorita San Marino Campionato	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
28/08	FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
25/04	SP Cailungo San Marino Campionato	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/04	SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato	0-2	0-3	11	2	L
11/04	SS San Giovanni San Marino Campionato	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

SS San Giovanni

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	SC Faetano San Marino Campionato	0-0	2-1	0	0	W
23/10	Pennarossa San Marino Campionato	1-1	2-2	3	8	D
10/10	Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
20/09	SP Cailungo San Marino Campionato	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
12/09	SS Murata San Marino Campionato	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
04/09	SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato	0-3	0-4	0	0	L
29/08	Tre Penne San Marino Campionato	1-2	2-3	0	5	L
26/04	Tre Penne San Marino Campionato	0-2	0-4	1	5	L
18/04	SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato	0-2	0-2	1	0	L
11/04	San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Marino Academy U22 vs SS San Giovanni?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SS San Giovanni win (46%). Probabilities: San Marino Academy U22 27%, draw 27%, SS San Giovanni 46%.

How many goals are expected in San Marino Academy U22 vs SS San Giovanni?

The model expects 2.44 goals (San Marino Academy U22 1.03 · SS San Giovanni 1.42), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in San Marino Academy U22 vs SS San Giovanni?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.