Football · Colombia Primera B · 19/10, 21:00
Prediction: Real San Andres vs Itagui Leones
Team pages: Real San Andres · Itagui Leones
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Real San Andres1.29
Itagui Leones0.91
1X2
Real San Andres
Draw
Itagui Leones
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Real San Andres
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Itagui Leones
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real San Andres
2–2–2
Itagui Leones
(6 last)
- Itagui Leones1-0Real San Andres
- Itagui Leones1-1Real San Andres
- Real San Andres1-0Itagui Leones
- Itagui Leones2-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres0-0Itagui Leones
- Real San Andres2-1Itagui Leones
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real San Andres 1500 · Itagui Leones 1452
| Real San Andres | Draw | Itagui Leones | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real San Andres (rating 1500 vs 1452).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real San Andres | Itagui Leones | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 10/10/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real San Andres 2–2–2 Itagui Leones
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
| 25/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
| 17/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Itagui Leones |
| 22/07/24 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
| 03/02/24 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Itagui Leones |
| 09/09/23 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Itagui Leones |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 6 | Atletico Cali FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 7 | Real Cartagena | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 17 |
| 8 | Deportes Quindio | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 17 |
| 9 | Real San Andres | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 16 |
| 10 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 16 |
| 11 | Envigado FC | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| 14 | Bogota FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| 15 | Itagui Leones | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 14 |
| 16 | Barranquilla FC | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real San Andres | Itagui Leones |
|---|---|---|
| Envigado FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Union Magdalena | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Barranquilla FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 4 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real San Andres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/10 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 03/10 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Itagui Leones
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 12/10 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 07/10 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/09 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 28/08 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-4 | 1-6 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real San Andres vs Itagui Leones?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real San Andres win (45%). Probabilities: Real San Andres 45%, draw 28%, Itagui Leones 26%.
How many goals are expected in Real San Andres vs Itagui Leones?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Real San Andres 1.29 · Itagui Leones 0.91), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real San Andres vs Itagui Leones?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.