Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 10/10, 21:00
Prediction: Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario
Team pages: Manta FC · Tecnico Universitario
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Manta FC1.48
Tecnico Universitario1.17
1X2
Manta FC
Draw
Tecnico Universitario
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Manta FC
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Tecnico Universitario
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Manta FC
3–3
Tecnico Universitario
(6 last)
- Tecnico Universitario1-0Manta FC
- Manta FC0-2Tecnico Universitario
- Tecnico Universitario2-3Manta FC
- Manta FC2-0Tecnico Universitario
- Tecnico Universitario3-1Manta FC
- Manta FC2-1Tecnico Universitario
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manta FC 1463 · Tecnico Universitario 1444
| Manta FC | Draw | Tecnico Universitario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 30% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Manta FC | Tecnico Universitario | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 44/11/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.6 | 3.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manta FC 3–0–3 Tecnico Universitario
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Tecnico Universitario | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Manta FC |
| 05/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Tecnico Universitario |
| 29/11/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Tecnico Universitario | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Manta FC |
| 19/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tecnico Universitario |
| 03/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Tecnico Universitario | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Manta FC |
| 11/04/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Tecnico Universitario |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mushuc Runa | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 39 | 39 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cuenca | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 38 | 37 |
| 3 | Orense | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | 33 |
| 4 | Tecnico Universitario | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 43 | 33 |
| 5 | Delfin SC | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 32 | 29 |
| 6 | Manta FC | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 43 | 24 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Manta FC | Tecnico Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 1-5 L | 0-5 L |
| Leones FC | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Mushuc Runa | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manta FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/09 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 02/09 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/08 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
Tecnico Universitario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-3 | 0-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Manta FC win (42%). Probabilities: Manta FC 42%, draw 29%, Tecnico Universitario 28%.
How many goals are expected in Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Manta FC 1.48 · Tecnico Universitario 1.17), with a 59% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.