Prediction: Leones FC vs Emelec
Team pages: Leones FC · Emelec
- Emelec2-1Leones FC
- Leones FC2-0Emelec
- Leones FC0-0Emelec
| Leones FC | Draw | Emelec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 31% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leones FC | Emelec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leones FC 1–1–1 Emelec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Leones FC |
| 04/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Leones FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Emelec |
| 08/10/25 Ecuador Cup | Leones FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Emelec |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Qualifying Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Libertad | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Guayaquil City | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 39 | 43 |
| 3 | Leones FC | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 36 | 40 |
| 4 | Emelec | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 39 | 39 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leones FC | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Libertad | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Guayaquil City | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Tecnico Universitario | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Manta FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| SD Aucas | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Emelec (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leones FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/09 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 03/09 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
Emelec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 04/09 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/08 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 02/08 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leones FC vs Emelec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leones FC win (47%). Probabilities: Leones FC 47%, draw 31%, Emelec 22%.
How many goals are expected in Leones FC vs Emelec?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Leones FC 1.32 · Emelec 0.83), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Leones FC vs Emelec?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.