Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 18/10, 18:30

Prediction: Delfin SC vs Manta FC

Team pages: Delfin SC · Manta FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

Delfin SC1.22

Manta FC1.02

1X2

40% 30% 30%

Delfin SC Draw Manta FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Delfin SC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLDDW

Manta FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLDWW

Head-to-head

Delfin SC 3–2–1 Manta FC (6 last)

Manta FC0-1Delfin SC
Delfin SC0-1Manta FC
Delfin SC2-0Manta FC
Manta FC2-2Delfin SC
Delfin SC0-0Manta FC
Delfin SC2-1Manta FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Delfin SC 1504 · Manta FC 1481

	Delfin SC	Draw	Manta FC
Our model	39%	31%	29%
Market	40%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Delfin SC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Delfin SC	Manta FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.5	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	4.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 09:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.31
X	3.40 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	5.00 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.25 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 10% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +21’	1.67	3.40	5.00
12:13 +5’	1.83▲	3.25▼	4.10▼
21:30 +3’	1.95▲	3.20▼	3.70▼
23:08 +4’	2.00▲	3.10▼	3.60▼
09:21 +3’	2.25▲	3.10	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:16 +242’	1.82	3.28	4.64
11:29 +49’	1.85▲	3.25▼	4.54▼
13:03 +26’	1.93▲	3.17▼	4.28▼
21:04 +29’	2.06▲	3.14▼	3.79▼
22:37 +3’	2.02▼	3.17▲	3.88▲
09:11 +13’	2.31▲	3.07▼	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Delfin SC 3–2–1 Manta FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Manta FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Delfin SC
14/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Delfin SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Manta FC
28/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Delfin SC	2-0 HT 1-0	Manta FC
04/03/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Manta FC	2-2 HT 2-1	Delfin SC
07/02/25 America Friendlies	Delfin SC	0-0	Manta FC
05/10/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Delfin SC	2-1 HT 2-1	Manta FC

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Serie A 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mushuc Runa	32	9	12	11	38	42	39
2	Deportivo Cuenca	32	10	8	14	26	38	38
3	Orense	32	9	7	16	37	49	34
4	Tecnico Universitario	32	10	3	19	29	44	33
5	Delfin SC	32	8	8	16	23	34	32
6	Manta FC	32	7	6	19	20	43	27

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Delfin SC	Manta FC
Mushuc Runa	3-2 W	1-2 L
Tecnico Universitario	1-1 D	1-0 W
Barcelona Guayaquil	1-1 D	2-0 W
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador	0-1 L	1-5 L
SD Aucas	0-1 L	0-0 D
Orense	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Manta FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Delfin SC

LDLLLWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-2	3-2	2	4	W
20/09	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
14/09	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	8	0	L
01/09	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-0	7	10	W
28/08	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
23/08	SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
15/08	Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-3	2-3	5	4	L
09/08	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
04/08	LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-2	1	2	L

Manta FC

LWLLWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-0	13	6	W
21/09	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
12/09	SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
08/09	Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
02/09	Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	3-4	2	4	L
30/08	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
22/08	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-3	1-5	1	3	L
15/08	Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
11/08	Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	2-1	1	2	W
01/08	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-2	1-2	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Delfin SC vs Manta FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Delfin SC win (40%). Probabilities: Delfin SC 40%, draw 30%, Manta FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Delfin SC vs Manta FC?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Delfin SC 1.22 · Manta FC 1.02), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Delfin SC vs Manta FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.