Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 17/09, 01:00
Prediction: Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas
Team pages: Metropolitanos FC · Caracas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Metropolitanos FC1.54
Caracas1.05
1X2
Metropolitanos FC
Draw
Caracas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Metropolitanos FC
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Caracas
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Metropolitanos FC
0–3–3
Caracas
(6 last)
- Caracas1-0Metropolitanos FC
- Caracas0-0Metropolitanos FC
- Caracas1-1Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC2-3Caracas
- Metropolitanos FC2-2Caracas
- Caracas2-0Metropolitanos FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Metropolitanos FC 1550 · Caracas 1550
| Metropolitanos FC | Draw | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Caracas: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Metropolitanos FC | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Metropolitanos FC 0–3–3 Caracas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 04/03/26 Copa Sudamericana | Caracas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 01/11/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 27/10/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Caracas |
| 06/08/25 Venezuela Cup | Metropolitanos FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Caracas |
| 30/07/25 Venezuela Cup | Caracas | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Merida | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Carabobo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Portuguesa | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | UCV | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Monagas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| 10 | Caracas | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| 12 | Zamora | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Metropolitanos FC | Caracas |
|---|---|---|
| Monagas | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Trujillanos | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Portuguesa | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Tachira | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Carabobo | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| UCV | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Metropolitanos FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/09 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 10/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 10 | L |
Caracas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 07/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Metropolitanos FC win (47%). Probabilities: Metropolitanos FC 47%, draw 28%, Caracas 24%.
How many goals are expected in Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Metropolitanos FC 1.54 · Caracas 1.05), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.