Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 20/09, 22:00
Prediction: Academia Anzoategui FC vs Caracas
Team pages: Academia Anzoategui FC · Caracas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Academia Anzoategui FC1.08
Caracas1.47
1X2
Academia Anzoategui FC
Draw
Caracas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Academia Anzoategui FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Caracas
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia Anzoategui FC
1–2
Caracas
(3 last)
- Caracas1-3Academia Anzoategui FC
- Academia Anzoategui FC0-1Caracas
- Caracas1-0Academia Anzoategui FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Anzoategui FC 1446 · Caracas 1510
| Academia Anzoategui FC | Draw | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 29% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 27% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caracas (rating 1446 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Caracas: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Anzoategui FC | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 2.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Anzoategui FC 1–0–2 Caracas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Academia Anzoategui FC |
| 19/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Anzoategui FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Caracas |
| 09/02/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Academia Anzoategui FC |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo La Guaira | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | UCV | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 11 |
| 11 | Caracas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 10 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 10 |
| 13 | Zamora | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Academia Anzoategui FC | Caracas |
|---|---|---|
| UCV | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Metropolitanos FC | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Monagas | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Trujillanos | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Estudiantes Merida | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Portuguesa | 3-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 7 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Caracas (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia Anzoategui FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 06/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
Caracas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 07/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Caracas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Caracas win (45%). Probabilities: Academia Anzoategui FC 27%, draw 28%, Caracas 45%.
How many goals are expected in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Caracas?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Academia Anzoategui FC 1.08 · Caracas 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Caracas?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.