Football · Jamaica Premier League · 20/10, 03:00
Prediction: Racing United FC vs Waterhouse
Team pages: Racing United FC · Waterhouse
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Racing United FC1.29
Waterhouse1.45
1X2
Racing United FC
Draw
Waterhouse
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing United FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Waterhouse
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing United FC
2–2–2
Waterhouse
(6 last)
- Racing United FC0-1Waterhouse
- Racing United FC0-0Waterhouse
- Waterhouse1-2Racing United FC
- Waterhouse0-3Racing United FC
- Racing United FC1-1Waterhouse
- Waterhouse1-0Racing United FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing United FC 1526 · Waterhouse 1553
| Racing United FC | Draw | Waterhouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing United FC | Waterhouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 2.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5 | 1.3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing United FC 2–2–2 Waterhouse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Waterhouse |
| 04/01/26 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Waterhouse |
| 31/08/25 Jamaica Premier League | Waterhouse | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Racing United FC |
| 13/03/25 Jamaica Premier League | Waterhouse | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Racing United FC |
| 22/12/24 Jamaica Premier League | Racing United FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Waterhouse |
| 17/09/24 Jamaica Premier League | Waterhouse | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Racing United FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montego Bay Utd | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 13 |
| 2 | Racing United FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Waterhouse | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 5 | Tru-Juice FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5 |
| 9 | Arnett Gardens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | Mount Pleasant FA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Dunbeholden FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Molynes United FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing United FC | Waterhouse |
|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant FA | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Portmore United | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Cavalier | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
3-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 05/10 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/09 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Waterhouse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/10 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/09 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 28/04 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing United FC vs Waterhouse?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Waterhouse win (40%). Probabilities: Racing United FC 33%, draw 28%, Waterhouse 40%.
How many goals are expected in Racing United FC vs Waterhouse?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Racing United FC 1.29 · Waterhouse 1.45), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing United FC vs Waterhouse?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.