Football · Jamaica Premier League · 26/10, 00:00
Prediction: Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden FC
Team pages: Waterhouse · Dunbeholden FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Waterhouse2.13
Dunbeholden FC0.82
1X2
Waterhouse
Draw
Dunbeholden FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Waterhouse
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Dunbeholden FC
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Waterhouse
4–1–1
Dunbeholden FC
(6 last)
- Waterhouse4-0Dunbeholden FC
- Dunbeholden FC1-2Waterhouse
- Waterhouse0-0Dunbeholden FC
- Waterhouse2-0Dunbeholden FC
- Dunbeholden FC1-0Waterhouse
- Waterhouse3-2Dunbeholden FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Waterhouse (rating 1557 vs 1415).
- H2H favours Waterhouse: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Waterhouse | Dunbeholden FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterhouse 4–1–1 Dunbeholden FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Jamaica Premier League | Waterhouse | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 08/02/26 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Waterhouse |
| 20/10/25 Jamaica Premier League | Waterhouse | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 04/05/25 Jamaica Premier League | Waterhouse | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dunbeholden FC |
| 16/02/25 Jamaica Premier League | Dunbeholden FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Waterhouse |
| 08/12/24 Jamaica Premier League | Waterhouse | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Dunbeholden FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montego Bay Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Racing United FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Waterhouse | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Tru-Juice FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 8 |
| 7 | Cavalier | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Molynes United FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 9 | Portmore United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Arnett Gardens | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 5 |
| 11 | Mount Pleasant FA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Dunbeholden FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Waterhouse | Dunbeholden FC |
|---|---|---|
| Treasure Beach FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Cavalier | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Waterhouse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/10 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/10 | Portmore United Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/09 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Dunbeholden FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 22/09 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/04 | Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Waterhouse win (67%). Probabilities: Waterhouse 67%, draw 21%, Dunbeholden FC 12%.
How many goals are expected in Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden FC?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Waterhouse 2.13 · Dunbeholden FC 0.82), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.