Football · Jamaica Premier League · 25/10, 21:00
Prediction: Portmore United vs Chapelton Maroons FC
Team pages: Portmore United · Chapelton Maroons FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Portmore United1.92
Chapelton Maroons FC1.06
1X2
Portmore United
Draw
Chapelton Maroons FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Portmore United
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Chapelton Maroons FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portmore United
3–1–2
Chapelton Maroons FC
(6 last)
- Chapelton Maroons FC0-2Portmore United
- Portmore United0-0Chapelton Maroons FC
- Chapelton Maroons FC3-2Portmore United
- Portmore United0-1Chapelton Maroons FC
- Chapelton Maroons FC0-3Portmore United
- Portmore United2-1Chapelton Maroons FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portmore United 1550 · Chapelton Maroons FC 1458
| Portmore United | Draw | Chapelton Maroons FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portmore United (rating 1550 vs 1458).
- H2H favours Portmore United: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portmore United | Chapelton Maroons FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.9 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portmore United 3–1–2 Chapelton Maroons FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Portmore United |
| 11/01/26 Jamaica Premier League | Portmore United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
| 07/09/25 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Portmore United |
| 23/03/25 Jamaica Premier League | Portmore United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
| 22/01/25 Jamaica Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Portmore United |
| 20/10/24 Jamaica Premier League | Portmore United | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chapelton Maroons FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montego Bay Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Racing United FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Waterhouse | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Tru-Juice FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 8 |
| 7 | Cavalier | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Molynes United FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 9 | Portmore United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Arnett Gardens | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 5 |
| 11 | Mount Pleasant FA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Dunbeholden FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portmore United | Chapelton Maroons FC |
|---|---|---|
| Waterhouse | 1-1 D | 0-6 L |
| Arnett Gardens | 1-1 D | 2-7 L |
| Humble Lions | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Mount Pleasant FA | 2-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Tivoli Gardens | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Portmore United (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portmore United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/09 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 17 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Chapelton Maroons FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-5 | 2-7 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League |
5-0 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
2-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portmore United vs Chapelton Maroons FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Portmore United win (57%). Probabilities: Portmore United 57%, draw 24%, Chapelton Maroons FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Portmore United vs Chapelton Maroons FC?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Portmore United 1.92 · Chapelton Maroons FC 1.06), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Portmore United vs Chapelton Maroons FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.