Football · Jamaica Premier League · 20/10, 00:05

Prediction: Molynes United FC vs Cavalier

Team pages: Molynes United FC · Cavalier

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Molynes United FC1.11

Cavalier1.61

1X2

26% 26% 48%

Molynes United FC Draw Cavalier

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Molynes United FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLLLL

Cavalier 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDWWDL

Head-to-head

Molynes United FC 1–5 Cavalier (6 last)

Cavalier2-0Molynes United FC
Cavalier2-1Molynes United FC
Molynes United FC1-0Cavalier
Cavalier4-3Molynes United FC
Molynes United FC0-3Cavalier
Cavalier5-1Molynes United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Molynes United FC 1468 · Cavalier 1523

	Molynes United FC	Draw	Cavalier
Our model	25%	27%	48%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalier (rating 1468 vs 1523).
H2H favours Cavalier: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Molynes United FC	Cavalier
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	1.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:24 +7’	3.40	3.60	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Molynes United FC 1–0–5 Cavalier

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Jamaica Premier League	Cavalier	2-0 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
05/03/26 Jamaica Premier League	Cavalier	2-1 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
11/12/25 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Cavalier
04/05/25 Jamaica Premier League	Cavalier	4-3 HT 1-1	Molynes United FC
16/02/25 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	0-3 HT 0-0	Cavalier
08/12/24 Jamaica Premier League	Cavalier	5-1 HT 2-0	Molynes United FC

Standings · Jamaica Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Montego Bay Utd	5	4	1	0	7	1	13
2	Racing United FC	5	4	0	1	14	6	12
3	Waterhouse	5	3	2	0	15	2	11
4	Tivoli Gardens	5	2	2	1	10	6	8
5	Tru-Juice FC	5	2	2	1	6	3	8
6	Cavalier	4	2	1	1	7	7	7
7	Portmore United	3	1	2	0	6	3	5
8	Chapelton Maroons FC	5	1	2	2	3	10	5
9	Arnett Gardens	4	1	1	2	8	7	4
10	Mount Pleasant FA	4	1	1	2	3	6	4
11	Dunbeholden FC	5	1	0	4	2	8	3
12	Molynes United FC	5	1	0	4	4	12	3
13	Treasure Beach FC	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
14	Humble Lions	5	0	2	3	2	13	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Molynes United FC	Cavalier
Dunbeholden FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Harbour View FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Arnett Gardens	3-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cavalier (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Molynes United FC

WWWLWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
05/10	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
27/09	Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
20/09	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
15/09	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	1-2	3-2	6	2	W
06/05	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
28/04	Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/04	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
19/04	Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	4	W

Cavalier

WDWLWDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
05/10	Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
27/09	Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
13/09	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
25/05	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	2-1	2-2	6	2	D
21/05	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
18/05	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
14/05	Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
11/05	Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League	1-2	2-2	3	3	D
06/05	Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League	0-1	2-1	13	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Molynes United FC vs Cavalier?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cavalier win (48%). Probabilities: Molynes United FC 26%, draw 26%, Cavalier 48%.

How many goals are expected in Molynes United FC vs Cavalier?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Molynes United FC 1.11 · Cavalier 1.61), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Molynes United FC vs Cavalier?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.