Football · Jamaica Premier League · 26/10, 23:05

Prediction: Arnett Gardens vs Molynes United FC

Team pages: Arnett Gardens · Molynes United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Arnett Gardens1.98

Molynes United FC1.25

1X2

53% 24% 23%

Arnett Gardens Draw Molynes United FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Arnett Gardens 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWLDD

Molynes United FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Arnett Gardens 2–2–2 Molynes United FC (6 last)

Molynes United FC3-0Arnett Gardens
Arnett Gardens0-0Molynes United FC
Molynes United FC3-1Arnett Gardens
Molynes United FC0-4Arnett Gardens
Arnett Gardens0-0Molynes United FC
Molynes United FC0-3Arnett Gardens

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arnett Gardens 1520 · Molynes United FC 1496

	Arnett Gardens	Draw	Molynes United FC
Our model	53%	24%	23%
Market	53%	25%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Arnett Gardens	Molynes United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.60

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:17 +6’	1.70	3.60	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Arnett Gardens 2–2–2 Molynes United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	3-0 HT 2-0	Arnett Gardens
09/03/26 Jamaica Premier League	Arnett Gardens	0-0 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
21/12/25 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	3-1 HT 3-0	Arnett Gardens
24/03/25 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	0-4 HT 0-2	Arnett Gardens
24/01/25 Jamaica Premier League	Arnett Gardens	0-0 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
20/10/24 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Arnett Gardens

Standings · Jamaica Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Montego Bay Utd	6	4	2	0	9	3	14
2	Racing United FC	6	4	1	1	14	6	13
3	Waterhouse	6	3	3	0	15	2	12
4	Tivoli Gardens	6	3	2	1	13	6	11
5	Tru-Juice FC	6	3	2	1	10	3	11
6	Chapelton Maroons FC	6	2	2	2	4	10	8
7	Cavalier	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
8	Molynes United FC	6	2	0	4	5	12	6
9	Portmore United	3	1	2	0	6	3	5
10	Arnett Gardens	5	1	2	2	10	9	5
11	Mount Pleasant FA	4	1	1	2	3	6	4
12	Dunbeholden FC	6	1	0	5	2	11	3
13	Treasure Beach FC	5	0	2	3	4	8	2
14	Humble Lions	6	0	2	4	2	17	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Arnett Gardens	Molynes United FC
Cavalier	2-3 L	1-0 W
Dunbeholden FC	3-0 W	0-1 L
Racing United FC	2-3 L	0-6 L
Chapelton Maroons FC	7-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Arnett Gardens (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arnett Gardens

LWWWWLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-1	2-2	2	4	D
06/10	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
27/09	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	1-2	2-3	7	5	L
22/09	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	3-0	3-0	5	3	W
15/09	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	1-2	2-3	10	4	L
06/05	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	5-0	7-2	–	–	W
03/05	Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League	5-0	6-0	3	0	W
26/04	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	2-0	2-1	3	9	W
24/04	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
19/04	Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-2	0-3	6	4	L

Molynes United FC

WWLWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
11/10	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
05/10	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
27/09	Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
20/09	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
15/09	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	1-2	3-2	6	2	W
06/05	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
28/04	Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/04	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-1	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arnett Gardens vs Molynes United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arnett Gardens win (53%). Probabilities: Arnett Gardens 53%, draw 24%, Molynes United FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Arnett Gardens vs Molynes United FC?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Arnett Gardens 1.98 · Molynes United FC 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Arnett Gardens vs Molynes United FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.