Football · Jamaica Premier League · 01/11, 21:00

Prediction: Racing United FC vs Treasure Beach FC

Team pages: Racing United FC · Treasure Beach FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Racing United FC2.07

Treasure Beach FC1.02

1X2

61% 21% 17%

Racing United FC Draw Treasure Beach FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing United FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLWWDW

Treasure Beach FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDLDLL

Head-to-head

Racing United FC 2–1–0 Treasure Beach FC (3 last)

Racing United FC0-0Treasure Beach FC
Racing United FC4-1Treasure Beach FC
Treasure Beach FC2-4Racing United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing United FC 1570 · Treasure Beach FC 1453

	Racing United FC	Draw	Treasure Beach FC
Our model	61%	22%	17%
Market	62%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing United FC (rating 1570 vs 1453).
H2H favours Racing United FC: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing United FC	Treasure Beach FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.33

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 12:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.45▲	Bet365 1.45
X	4.40 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33
2	6.50 → 5.00▼	Pinn 6.09 ★

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:39 +9’	1.36	4.40	6.50
19:46 +18’	1.45▲	4.20▼	5.25▼
06:11 +3’	1.42▼	4.33▲	5.75▲
09:09 +6’	1.42	4.50▲	5.25▼
11:18 +3’	1.40▼	4.50	5.50▲
12:29 +8’	1.45▲	4.33▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:11 +66’	1.41	4.27	6.32
09:02 +12’	1.40▼	4.40▲	6.38▲
12:24 +13’	1.43▲	4.23▼	6.09▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing United FC 2–1–0 Treasure Beach FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/03/26 Jamaica Premier League	Racing United FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Treasure Beach FC
14/01/26 Jamaica Premier League	Racing United FC	4-1 HT 0-0	Treasure Beach FC
14/09/25 Jamaica Premier League	Treasure Beach FC	2-4 HT 0-0	Racing United FC

Standings · Jamaica Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Racing United FC	7	5	1	1	16	7	16
2	Waterhouse	7	4	3	0	17	2	15
3	Tru-Juice FC	7	4	2	1	15	3	14
4	Montego Bay Utd	7	4	2	1	10	5	14
5	Tivoli Gardens	7	3	2	2	14	8	11
6	Cavalier	6	3	1	2	9	9	10
7	Chapelton Maroons FC	7	2	3	2	4	10	9
8	Arnett Gardens	6	2	2	2	14	10	8
9	Mount Pleasant FA	5	2	1	2	5	7	7
10	Portmore United	4	1	3	0	6	3	6
11	Molynes United FC	7	2	0	5	6	16	6
12	Dunbeholden FC	7	1	0	6	2	13	3
13	Treasure Beach FC	6	0	2	4	4	13	2
14	Humble Lions	7	0	2	5	3	19	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing United FC	Treasure Beach FC
Humble Lions	2-1 W	1-1 D
Waterhouse	0-0 D	0-2 L
Tivoli Gardens	4-3 W	1-1 D
Molynes United FC	6-0 W	2-3 L
Montego Bay Utd	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Racing United FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
20/10	Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
13/10	Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League	3-2	4-3	6	9	W
05/10	Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League	2-0	6-0	4	2	W
28/09	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
20/09	Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
15/09	Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League	2-1	3-2	8	4	W
14/05	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
11/05	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	0-2	3-3	6	7	D
06/05	Spanish Town Police Jamaica Premier League	1-0	4-0	–	–	W

Treasure Beach FC

WWWLLDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League	0-2	0-5	6	3	L
18/10	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
04/10	Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
28/09	Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
20/09	Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
15/09	Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League	2-1	2-3	3	2	L
06/05	Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
03/05	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
26/04	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/04	Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-1	0	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing United FC vs Treasure Beach FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing United FC win (61%). Probabilities: Racing United FC 61%, draw 21%, Treasure Beach FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Racing United FC vs Treasure Beach FC?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Racing United FC 2.07 · Treasure Beach FC 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing United FC vs Treasure Beach FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.