Football · Jamaica Premier League · 03/11, 02:00

Prediction: Waterhouse vs Cavalier

Team pages: Waterhouse · Cavalier

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Waterhouse1.32

Cavalier1.05

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Waterhouse Draw Cavalier

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Waterhouse 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWDDDW

Cavalier 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWDLLW

Head-to-head

Waterhouse 2–3–1 Cavalier (6 last)

Waterhouse0-2Cavalier
Cavalier2-2Waterhouse
Waterhouse2-1Cavalier
Waterhouse0-0Cavalier
Cavalier0-1Waterhouse
Waterhouse1-1Cavalier

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Waterhouse 1560 · Cavalier 1494

	Waterhouse	Draw	Cavalier
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	43%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Waterhouse (rating 1560 vs 1494).
H2H favours Waterhouse: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Waterhouse	Cavalier
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.6	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:10 +3’	2.10	3.30	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterhouse 2–3–1 Cavalier

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Jamaica Premier League	Waterhouse	0-2 HT 0-1	Cavalier
11/05/26 Jamaica Premier League	Cavalier	2-2 HT 1-2	Waterhouse
23/03/26 Jamaica Premier League	Waterhouse	2-1 HT 0-1	Cavalier
12/01/26 Jamaica Premier League	Waterhouse	0-0 HT 0-0	Cavalier
09/09/25 Jamaica Premier League	Cavalier	0-1 HT 0-1	Waterhouse
10/03/25 Jamaica Premier League	Waterhouse	1-1 HT 0-0	Cavalier

Standings · Jamaica Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Racing United FC	7	5	1	1	16	7	16
2	Waterhouse	7	4	3	0	17	2	15
3	Tru-Juice FC	7	4	2	1	15	3	14
4	Montego Bay Utd	7	4	2	1	10	5	14
5	Tivoli Gardens	7	3	2	2	14	8	11
6	Cavalier	6	3	1	2	9	9	10
7	Chapelton Maroons FC	7	2	3	2	4	10	9
8	Arnett Gardens	6	2	2	2	14	10	8
9	Mount Pleasant FA	5	2	1	2	5	7	7
10	Portmore United	4	1	3	0	6	3	6
11	Molynes United FC	7	2	0	5	6	16	6
12	Dunbeholden FC	7	1	0	6	2	13	3
13	Treasure Beach FC	6	0	2	4	4	13	2
14	Humble Lions	7	0	2	5	3	19	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Waterhouse	Cavalier
Dunbeholden FC	2-0 W	2-1 W
Portmore United	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Waterhouse (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Waterhouse

WDLWWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-0	11	5	W
20/10	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
13/10	Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
08/10	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
06/10	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	3-0	6-0	2	6	W
28/09	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
22/09	Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League	2-0	5-0	6	6	W
14/05	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
11/05	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	2-1	2-2	2	3	D
06/05	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	2-0	4-0	–	–	W

Cavalier

WLWDWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-1	9	8	W
20/10	Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
11/10	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
05/10	Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
27/09	Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
13/09	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
25/05	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	2-1	2-2	6	2	D
21/05	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
18/05	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
14/05	Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Waterhouse vs Cavalier?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Waterhouse win (42%). Probabilities: Waterhouse 42%, draw 29%, Cavalier 29%.

How many goals are expected in Waterhouse vs Cavalier?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Waterhouse 1.32 · Cavalier 1.05), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Waterhouse vs Cavalier?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.