Football · Jamaica Premier League · 01/11, 21:00
Prediction: Montego Bay Utd vs Portmore United
Team pages: Montego Bay Utd · Portmore United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Montego Bay Utd1.41
Portmore United1.04
1X2
Montego Bay Utd
Draw
Portmore United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Montego Bay Utd
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Portmore United
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montego Bay Utd
1–4–1
Portmore United
(6 last)
- Portmore United0-1Montego Bay Utd
- Portmore United2-2Montego Bay Utd
- Montego Bay Utd0-0Portmore United
- Portmore United2-0Montego Bay Utd
- Montego Bay Utd0-0Portmore United
- Portmore United0-0Montego Bay Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Montego Bay Utd 1516 · Portmore United 1518
| Montego Bay Utd | Draw | Portmore United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montego Bay Utd | Portmore United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.8 | 3.3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montego Bay Utd 1–4–1 Portmore United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 Jamaica Cup | Portmore United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Montego Bay Utd |
| 05/04/26 Jamaica Premier League | Portmore United | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Montego Bay Utd |
| 18/01/26 Jamaica Premier League | Montego Bay Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Portmore United |
| 22/09/25 Jamaica Premier League | Portmore United | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Montego Bay Utd |
| 31/03/25 Jamaica Premier League | Montego Bay Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Portmore United |
| 26/01/25 Jamaica Premier League | Portmore United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Montego Bay Utd |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing United FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Waterhouse | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | Tru-Juice FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Montego Bay Utd | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Tivoli Gardens | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 11 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 8 |
| 9 | Mount Pleasant FA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Portmore United | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Molynes United FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
| 12 | Dunbeholden FC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 3 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach FC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 2 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montego Bay Utd | Portmore United |
|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant FA | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Arnett Gardens | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Cavalier | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Racing United FC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Chapelton Maroons FC | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montego Bay Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/09 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 18 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
Portmore United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/10 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/09 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 17 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montego Bay Utd vs Portmore United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montego Bay Utd win (45%). Probabilities: Montego Bay Utd 45%, draw 29%, Portmore United 27%.
How many goals are expected in Montego Bay Utd vs Portmore United?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Montego Bay Utd 1.41 · Portmore United 1.04), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Montego Bay Utd vs Portmore United?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.