Football · Jamaica Premier League · 02/11, 23:05

Prediction: Molynes United FC vs Mount Pleasant FA

Team pages: Molynes United FC · Mount Pleasant FA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Molynes United FC0.95

Mount Pleasant FA1.82

1X2

19% 24% 57%

Molynes United FC Draw Mount Pleasant FA

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Molynes United FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Mount Pleasant FA 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Molynes United FC 0–2–4 Mount Pleasant FA (6 last)

Mount Pleasant FA5-1Molynes United FC
Mount Pleasant FA2-0Molynes United FC
Molynes United FC0-0Mount Pleasant FA
Mount Pleasant FA1-1Molynes United FC
Mount Pleasant FA3-0Molynes United FC
Molynes United FC2-6Mount Pleasant FA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Molynes United FC 1454 · Mount Pleasant FA 1578

	Molynes United FC	Draw	Mount Pleasant FA
Our model	18%	25%	57%
Market	19%	24%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mount Pleasant FA (rating 1454 vs 1578).
H2H favours Mount Pleasant FA: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Molynes United FC	Mount Pleasant FA
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	0.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.75

X3.80

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
09:01 +18’	4.75	3.80	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Molynes United FC 0–2–4 Mount Pleasant FA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Jamaica Cup	Mount Pleasant FA	5-1 HT 2-0	Molynes United FC
16/03/26 Jamaica Premier League	Mount Pleasant FA	2-0 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
04/01/26 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Mount Pleasant FA
02/09/25 Jamaica Premier League	Mount Pleasant FA	1-1 HT 0-0	Molynes United FC
27/04/25 Jamaica Premier League	Mount Pleasant FA	3-0 HT 1-0	Molynes United FC
13/02/25 Jamaica Premier League	Molynes United FC	2-6 HT 2-3	Mount Pleasant FA

Standings · Jamaica Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Racing United FC	7	5	1	1	16	7	16
2	Waterhouse	7	4	3	0	17	2	15
3	Tru-Juice FC	7	4	2	1	15	3	14
4	Montego Bay Utd	7	4	2	1	10	5	14
5	Tivoli Gardens	7	3	2	2	14	8	11
6	Cavalier	6	3	1	2	9	9	10
7	Chapelton Maroons FC	7	2	3	2	4	10	9
8	Arnett Gardens	6	2	2	2	14	10	8
9	Mount Pleasant FA	5	2	1	2	5	7	7
10	Portmore United	4	1	3	0	6	3	6
11	Molynes United FC	7	2	0	5	6	16	6
12	Dunbeholden FC	7	1	0	6	2	13	3
13	Treasure Beach FC	6	0	2	4	4	13	2
14	Humble Lions	7	0	2	5	3	19	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Molynes United FC	Mount Pleasant FA
Cavalier	1-0 W	1-1 D
Dunbeholden FC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Racing United FC	0-6 L	0-1 L
Tru-Juice FC	0-1 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Molynes United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League	0-2	1-4	7	3	L
20/10	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
11/10	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
05/10	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
27/09	Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
20/09	Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
15/09	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	1-2	3-2	6	2	W
06/05	Treasure Beach FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Harbour View FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
28/04	Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Mount Pleasant FA

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
05/10	Cavalier Jamaica Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
27/09	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	2-0	2-0	1	2	W
20/09	Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
13/09	Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League	0-2	0-4	5	3	L
25/05	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	1-0	3-2	3	3	W
21/05	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
18/05	Portmore United Jamaica Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
06/05	Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League	2-1	2-1	7	2	W
03/05	Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League	1-0	5-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Molynes United FC vs Mount Pleasant FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mount Pleasant FA win (57%). Probabilities: Molynes United FC 19%, draw 24%, Mount Pleasant FA 57%.

How many goals are expected in Molynes United FC vs Mount Pleasant FA?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Molynes United FC 0.95 · Mount Pleasant FA 1.82), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Molynes United FC vs Mount Pleasant FA?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.