Football · Jamaica Premier League · 05/11, 21:00
Prediction: Portmore United vs Treasure Beach FC
Team pages: Portmore United · Treasure Beach FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Portmore United2.41
Treasure Beach FC0.52
1X2
Portmore United
Draw
Treasure Beach FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Portmore United
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Treasure Beach FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portmore United
2–2–1
Treasure Beach FC
(5 last)
- Treasure Beach FC2-2Portmore United
- Portmore United1-1Treasure Beach FC
- Treasure Beach FC2-0Portmore United
- Treasure Beach FC1-3Portmore United
- Portmore United3-1Treasure Beach FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portmore United 1524 · Treasure Beach FC 1478
| Portmore United | Draw | Treasure Beach FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 16% | 6% |
| Market | 80% | 13% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portmore United (rating 1524 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Portmore United: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portmore United | Treasure Beach FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.5 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portmore United 2–2–1 Treasure Beach FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Treasure Beach FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Portmore United |
| 08/03/26 Jamaica Premier League | Portmore United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Treasure Beach FC |
| 21/12/25 Jamaica Premier League | Treasure Beach FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Portmore United |
| 28/01/24 Jamaica Premier League | Treasure Beach FC | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Portmore United |
| 05/11/23 Jamaica Premier League | Portmore United | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Treasure Beach FC |
Standings · Jamaica Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterhouse | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Tru-Juice FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | Racing United FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Montego Bay Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Tivoli Gardens | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | Mount Pleasant FA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Chapelton Maroons FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Portmore United | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Dunbeholden FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | Molynes United FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 6 |
| 13 | Treasure Beach FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 5 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portmore United | Treasure Beach FC |
|---|---|---|
| Montego Bay Utd | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Chapelton Maroons FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Waterhouse | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Humble Lions | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Racing United FC | 2-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Portmore United (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portmore United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/10 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/10 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Arnett Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/09 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 17 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Cavalier Jamaica Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | Mount Pleasant FA Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | D |
Treasure Beach FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Racing United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-2 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Tru-Juice FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Chapelton Maroons FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Humble Lions Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/09 | Waterhouse Jamaica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Tivoli Gardens Jamaica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 15/09 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Molynes United FC Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Montego Bay Utd Jamaica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Dunbeholden FC Jamaica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portmore United vs Treasure Beach FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Portmore United win (79%). Probabilities: Portmore United 79%, draw 14%, Treasure Beach FC 6%.
How many goals are expected in Portmore United vs Treasure Beach FC?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Portmore United 2.41 · Treasure Beach FC 0.52), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Portmore United vs Treasure Beach FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.