Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 16/09, 01:30

Prediction: UCV vs Academia Anzoategui FC

Team pages: UCV · Academia Anzoategui FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

UCV1.97

Academia Anzoategui FC1.19

1X2

54% 24% 22%

UCV Draw Academia Anzoategui FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

UCV 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Academia Anzoategui FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDWLLDLLLL

Head-to-head

UCV 3–3–0 Academia Anzoategui FC (6 last)

Academia Anzoategui FC2-3UCV
UCV1-1Academia Anzoategui FC
Academia Anzoategui FC2-4UCV
Academia Anzoategui FC0-2UCV
UCV2-2Academia Anzoategui FC
Academia Anzoategui FC4-4UCV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UCV 1487 · Academia Anzoategui FC 1428

	UCV	Draw	Academia Anzoategui FC
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UCV (rating 1487 vs 1428).
H2H favours UCV: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UCV	Academia Anzoategui FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	0.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	1.5 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.4	6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.60

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:56 +7’	1.67	3.60	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UCV 3–3–0 Academia Anzoategui FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Anzoategui FC	2-3 HT 1-1	UCV
27/08/25 Venezuela Cup	UCV	1-1 HT 0-1	Academia Anzoategui FC
20/08/25 Venezuela Cup	Academia Anzoategui FC	2-4 HT 1-2	UCV
07/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Anzoategui FC	0-2 HT 0-0	UCV
08/06/25 Venezuela Primera Division	UCV	2-2 HT 1-1	Academia Anzoategui FC
04/05/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Anzoategui FC	4-4 HT 3-0	UCV

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metropolitanos FC	9	7	1	1	18	8	22
2	Deportivo Tachira	9	6	1	2	19	11	19
3	Deportivo La Guaira	9	5	1	3	19	11	16
4	Academia Puerto Cabello	9	4	3	2	12	7	15
5	Estudiantes Merida	9	4	3	2	10	9	15
6	Carabobo	9	4	2	3	10	7	14
7	Portuguesa	9	3	5	1	11	9	14
8	UCV	9	3	2	4	10	10	11
9	Monagas	9	3	1	5	10	12	10
10	Caracas	9	2	4	3	8	10	10
11	Trujillanos	9	3	1	5	9	13	10
12	Zamora	9	2	2	5	9	17	8
13	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	9	2	1	6	12	20	7
14	Academia Anzoategui FC	9	1	1	7	5	18	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UCV	Academia Anzoategui FC
Deportivo La Guaira	2-0 W	0-2 L
Academia Puerto Cabello	0-0 D	0-3 L
Estudiantes Merida	1-1 D	0-1 L
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	4-1 W	1-0 W
Zamora	0-2 L	1-1 D
Metropolitanos FC	1-2 L	0-2 L
Monagas	2-1 W	1-3 L
Trujillanos	0-2 L	0-0 D
Portuguesa	2-3 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: UCV (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UCV

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
08/09	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
04/09	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
01/09	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	4-1	6	10	W
22/08	Zamora Venezuela Primera Division	0-2	0-2	11	5	L
15/08	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
10/08	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
05/08	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
01/08	Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
30/05	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	0-2	2-3	6	9	L

Academia Anzoategui FC

LDWLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
07/09	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
03/09	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-3	0	6	L
01/09	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
21/08	Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
15/08	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	0	6	L
09/08	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	1-2	3-4	2	9	L
06/08	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
25/04	Zamora Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	10	D
21/04	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	1-2	3-6	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UCV vs Academia Anzoategui FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UCV win (54%). Probabilities: UCV 54%, draw 24%, Academia Anzoategui FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in UCV vs Academia Anzoategui FC?

The model expects 3.16 goals (UCV 1.97 · Academia Anzoategui FC 1.19), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in UCV vs Academia Anzoategui FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.