Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 03/10, 22:00
Prediction: Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central
Team pages: Atlético Tucumán · Barracas Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.7Total
Atlético Tucumán1.1
Barracas Central0.61
1X2
Atlético Tucumán
Draw
Barracas Central
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Atlético Tucumán
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Barracas Central
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atlético Tucumán
3–1–2
Barracas Central
(6 last)
- Barracas Central2-1Atlético Tucumán
- Barracas Central0-2Atlético Tucumán
- Barracas Central2-0Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán1-0Barracas Central
- Atlético Tucumán1-1Barracas Central
- Atlético Tucumán4-0Barracas Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atlético Tucumán 1502 · Barracas Central 1478
| Atlético Tucumán | Draw | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 35% | 19% |
| Market | 48% | 31% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.7 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atlético Tucumán: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlético Tucumán | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlético Tucumán 3–1–2 Barracas Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 29/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 12/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 17/09/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 19/03/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Barracas Central |
| 24/08/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Barracas Central |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Independiente Rivadavia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sarmiento | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlético Tucumán | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Tigre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 13 | CA Aldosivi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 8 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlético Tucumán | Barracas Central |
|---|---|---|
| CA Aldosivi | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| River Plate | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Barracas Central (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlético Tucumán
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/07 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Barracas Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/09 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 08/09 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlético Tucumán win (47%). Probabilities: Atlético Tucumán 47%, draw 33%, Barracas Central 20%.
How many goals are expected in Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central?
The model expects 1.7 goals (Atlético Tucumán 1.1 · Barracas Central 0.61), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.