Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 12/10, 00:15
Prediction: Racing Club vs Belgrano
Team pages: Racing Club · Belgrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Racing Club1.16
Belgrano0.91
1X2
Racing Club
Draw
Belgrano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Belgrano
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing Club
5–1–0
Belgrano
(6 last)
- Racing Club1-0Belgrano
- Belgrano1-2Racing Club
- Belgrano0-1Racing Club
- Racing Club4-0Belgrano
- Belgrano4-4Racing Club
- Belgrano0-4Racing Club
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club 1468 · Belgrano 1509
| Racing Club | Draw | Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Market | 40% | 33% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belgrano (rating 1468 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Racing Club: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club | Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.4 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club 5–1–0 Belgrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 Argentina Cup | Racing Club | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Belgrano |
| 22/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Racing Club |
| 21/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Racing Club |
| 30/01/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Belgrano |
| 12/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 4-4 HT 1-3 | Racing Club |
| 17/04/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Racing Club |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sarmiento | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Huracan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia LP | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | River Plate | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | CA Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Club | Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Sarmiento | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Huracan | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Atlético Tucumán | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Banfield | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Argentinos Jrs | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Tigre | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Belgrano (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 07/09 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/07 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/09 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club vs Belgrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club win (40%). Probabilities: Racing Club 40%, draw 33%, Belgrano 27%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club vs Belgrano?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Racing Club 1.16 · Belgrano 0.91), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club vs Belgrano?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.