Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 12/10, 02:30
Prediction: CA Talleres de Córdoba vs CA Independiente
Team pages: CA Talleres de Córdoba · CA Independiente
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
CA Talleres de Córdoba1.45
CA Independiente1.12
1X2
CA Talleres de Córdoba
Draw
CA Independiente
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Talleres de Córdoba
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Talleres de Córdoba
4–1–1
CA Independiente
(6 last)
- CA Independiente1-2CA Talleres de Córdoba
- CA Independiente1-2CA Talleres de Córdoba
- CA Talleres de Córdoba2-3CA Independiente
- CA Independiente1-3CA Talleres de Córdoba
- CA Independiente2-2CA Talleres de Córdoba
- CA Talleres de Córdoba3-2CA Independiente
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Talleres de Córdoba 1457 · CA Independiente 1475
| CA Talleres de Córdoba | Draw | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 42% | 32% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Talleres de Córdoba: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Talleres de Córdoba | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.1 | 2.1 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Talleres de Córdoba 4–1–1 CA Independiente
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 1-2 HT 0-0 | CA Talleres de Córdoba |
| 21/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CA Talleres de Córdoba |
| 29/01/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 2-3 HT 1-2 | CA Independiente |
| 11/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 1-3 HT 1-1 | CA Talleres de Córdoba |
| 16/04/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 2-2 HT 2-0 | CA Talleres de Córdoba |
| 26/11/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 3-2 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newell's | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | CA Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes LP | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Talleres de Córdoba | CA Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Instituto AC Cordoba | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Union Santa Fe | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| San Lorenzo | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Central Cordoba | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Lanus | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Platense | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Velez Sarsfield | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Independiente (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Talleres de Córdoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 18/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
CA Independiente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Talleres de Córdoba vs CA Independiente?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Talleres de Córdoba win (43%). Probabilities: CA Talleres de Córdoba 43%, draw 30%, CA Independiente 27%.
How many goals are expected in CA Talleres de Córdoba vs CA Independiente?
The model expects 2.57 goals (CA Talleres de Córdoba 1.45 · CA Independiente 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Talleres de Córdoba vs CA Independiente?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.