Prediction: Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia
Team pages: Rosario Central · Independiente Rivadavia
- Independiente Rivadavia2-0Rosario Central
- Independiente Rivadavia1-1Rosario Central
- Rosario Central1-0Independiente Rivadavia
| Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rosario Central | Independiente Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.8 | 1.9 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosario Central 1–1–1 Independiente Rivadavia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rosario Central |
| 05/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Rosario Central |
| 08/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sarmiento | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Huracan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia LP | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | River Plate | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | CA Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rosario Central | Independiente Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia LP | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Barracas Central | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| CA Aldosivi | 2-1 W | 4-3 W |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Racing Club | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Rivadavia (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rosario Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 29/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 17/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Independiente Rivadavia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosario Central win (47%). Probabilities: Rosario Central 47%, draw 31%, Independiente Rivadavia 22%.
How many goals are expected in Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Rosario Central 1.31 · Independiente Rivadavia 0.82), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.