Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 11/10, 22:00
Prediction: Platense vs Argentinos Jrs
Team pages: Platense · Argentinos Jrs
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Platense0.89
Argentinos Jrs1.07
1X2
Platense
Draw
Argentinos Jrs
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Platense
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Argentinos Jrs
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Platense
1–2–3
Argentinos Jrs
(6 last)
- Argentinos Jrs1-0Platense
- Platense0-0Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs1-0Platense
- Platense2-1Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs3-1Platense
- Platense0-0Argentinos Jrs
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Platense 1476 · Argentinos Jrs 1535
| Platense | Draw | Argentinos Jrs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 34% | 38% |
| Market | 29% | 32% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Argentinos Jrs (rating 1476 vs 1535).
- H2H favours Argentinos Jrs: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Platense | Argentinos Jrs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 3.1 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Platense 1–2–3 Argentinos Jrs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Platense |
| 27/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 04/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Platense |
| 27/10/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 26/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Platense |
| 03/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sarmiento | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Huracan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia LP | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | River Plate | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | CA Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Platense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 30/07 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Argentinos Jrs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 01/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Platense vs Argentinos Jrs?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Argentinos Jrs win (38%). Probabilities: Platense 29%, draw 33%, Argentinos Jrs 38%.
How many goals are expected in Platense vs Argentinos Jrs?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Platense 0.89 · Argentinos Jrs 1.07), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Platense vs Argentinos Jrs?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.