Prediction: Gimnasia Mendoza vs Newell's

Team pages: Gimnasia Mendoza · Newell's

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
Gimnasia Mendoza1.14
Newell's0.84
1X2
41% 33% 26%
Gimnasia Mendoza Draw Newell's
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia Mendoza 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWDLDL
Newell's 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LDLWWDDDWD
Head-to-head
Gimnasia Mendoza 0–1 Newell's (1 last)
  • Newell's1-0Gimnasia Mendoza
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gimnasia Mendoza 1496 · Newell's 1537
Gimnasia MendozaDrawNewell's
Our model41%33%26%
Market41%33%26%
Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Newell's (rating 1496 vs 1537).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gimnasia MendozaNewell's
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.21 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.32 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.44 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Mendoza 0–0–1 Newell's

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Argentina Liga Profesional
Newell's1-0
HT 0-0
Gimnasia Mendoza

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Instituto AC Cordoba 12822 191026
2 Defensa y Justicia 12732 181124
3 Boca Juniors 12561 191321
4 Velez Sarsfield 11560 171121
5 Lanus 11524 13917
6 Newell's 11452 11817
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11524 141217
8 CA Independiente 11524 111217
9 Estudiantes LP 12426 151314
10 Union Santa Fe 12417 172113
11 Deportivo Riestra 11254 91111
12 San Lorenzo 11326 41111
13 Platense 11245 111710
14 Central Cordoba 12246 101610
15 CA Talleres de Córdoba 11227 11188

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGimnasia MendozaNewell's
Estudiantes LP 0-3 L 0-0 D
Deportivo Riestra 0-0 D 2-0 W
Defensa y Justicia 0-2 L 1-2 L
Boca Juniors 2-2 D 2-2 D
CA Independiente 3-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Newell's (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimnasia Mendoza

LWLWWWDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Estudiantes LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-3 54 L
19/09 Deportivo Riestra
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 46 D
12/09 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 0-2 64 L
05/09 Boca Juniors
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-2 2-2 55 D
31/08 CA Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 3-0 42 W
22/08 Gimnasia LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
2-0 3-2 13 W
18/08 CA Talleres de Córdoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
2-0 3-1 78 W
09/08 Instituto AC Cordoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-1 28 L
01/08 Union Santa Fe
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 2-0 –– W
29/07 San Lorenzo
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-1 –– L

Newell's

LDLWWDDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Lanus
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 33 D
20/09 Platense
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-0 17 W
11/09 Velez Sarsfield
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-1 81 D
06/09 Rosario Central
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-1 29 D
01/09 Estudiantes LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 02 D
23/08 Banfield
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 2-1 34 W
16/08 Deportivo Riestra
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 2-0 63 W
09/08 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-2 75 L
02/08 Boca Juniors
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 2-2 –– D
31/07 CA Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 0-1 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Newell's?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Mendoza win (41%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Mendoza 41%, draw 33%, Newell's 26%.

How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Newell's?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Gimnasia Mendoza 1.14 · Newell's 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Newell's?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.