Prediction: Gimnasia Mendoza vs Newell's
Team pages: Gimnasia Mendoza · Newell's
- Newell's1-0Gimnasia Mendoza
| Gimnasia Mendoza | Draw | Newell's | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 33% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 33% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Newell's (rating 1496 vs 1537).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia Mendoza | Newell's | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Mendoza 0–0–1 Newell's
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Mendoza |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newell's | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | CA Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes LP | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia Mendoza | Newell's |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes LP | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Defensa y Justicia | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Boca Juniors | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| CA Independiente | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Newell's (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia Mendoza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 31/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 09/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Newell's
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 01/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 31/07 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Newell's?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Mendoza win (41%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Mendoza 41%, draw 33%, Newell's 26%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Newell's?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Gimnasia Mendoza 1.14 · Newell's 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Newell's?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.

