Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 03/10, 00:15
Prediction: CA Independiente vs Instituto AC Cordoba
Team pages: CA Independiente · Instituto AC Cordoba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
CA Independiente1.16
Instituto AC Cordoba0.89
1X2
CA Independiente
Draw
Instituto AC Cordoba
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Independiente
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Instituto AC Cordoba
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Independiente
2–2–2
Instituto AC Cordoba
(6 last)
- Instituto AC Cordoba2-1CA Independiente
- Instituto AC Cordoba0-0CA Independiente
- CA Independiente2-0Instituto AC Cordoba
- Instituto AC Cordoba3-1CA Independiente
- Instituto AC Cordoba0-2CA Independiente
- CA Independiente0-0Instituto AC Cordoba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Independiente 1505 · Instituto AC Cordoba 1566
| CA Independiente | Draw | Instituto AC Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 33% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 32% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Instituto AC Cordoba (rating 1505 vs 1566).
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Independiente | Instituto AC Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.6 | 2.9 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 5.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente 2–2–2 Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2-1 HT 2-1 | CA Independiente |
| 30/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente |
| 22/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 19/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 3-1 HT 3-1 | CA Independiente |
| 18/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 0-2 HT 0-2 | CA Independiente |
| 24/09/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | CA Independiente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 8 | Newell's | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes LP | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 14 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Independiente | Instituto AC Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| San Lorenzo | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Central Cordoba | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Lanus | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Platense | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Velez Sarsfield | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Instituto AC Cordoba (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Independiente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/09 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/09 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/07 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Independiente vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Independiente win (41%). Probabilities: CA Independiente 41%, draw 32%, Instituto AC Cordoba 27%.
How many goals are expected in CA Independiente vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
The model expects 2.06 goals (CA Independiente 1.16 · Instituto AC Cordoba 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Independiente vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.