Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 14/09, 04:30
Prediction: The Town vs Real Monarchs SLC
Team pages: The Town · Real Monarchs SLC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
The Town2
Real Monarchs SLC1.21
1X2
The Town
Draw
Real Monarchs SLC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
The Town
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Real Monarchs SLC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
The Town
2–2–2
Real Monarchs SLC
(6 last)
- The Town3-0Real Monarchs SLC
- Real Monarchs SLC1-1The Town
- The Town0-0Real Monarchs SLC
- The Town4-0Real Monarchs SLC
- Real Monarchs SLC2-1The Town
- Real Monarchs SLC2-1The Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · The Town 1445 · Real Monarchs SLC 1431
| The Town | Draw | Real Monarchs SLC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Town | Real Monarchs SLC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.8 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Town 2–2–2 Real Monarchs SLC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 14/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | The Town |
| 28/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 27/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 11/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | The Town |
| 09/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | The Town |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 34 | 50 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 37 | 43 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 44 | 42 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 40 | 39 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 38 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 36 | 37 |
| 10 | The Town | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 29 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 68 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 50 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | The Town | Real Monarchs SLC |
|---|---|---|
| Ventura County FC | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Tacoma Defiance | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Los Angeles FC II | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Houston Dynamo II | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| St Louis City II | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| North Texas SC | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: The Town (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 03/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
Real Monarchs SLC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 20/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Town vs Real Monarchs SLC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a The Town win (55%). Probabilities: The Town 55%, draw 23%, Real Monarchs SLC 22%.
How many goals are expected in The Town vs Real Monarchs SLC?
The model expects 3.22 goals (The Town 2 · Real Monarchs SLC 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in The Town vs Real Monarchs SLC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.