Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 20/09, 23:00
Prediction: Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas SC
Team pages: Colorado Rapids II · North Texas SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Colorado Rapids II1.49
North Texas SC1.6
1X2
Colorado Rapids II
Draw
North Texas SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Colorado Rapids II
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
North Texas SC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colorado Rapids II
3–2–1
North Texas SC
(6 last)
- Colorado Rapids II1-0North Texas SC
- North Texas SC3-1Colorado Rapids II
- North Texas SC1-4Colorado Rapids II
- Colorado Rapids II1-1North Texas SC
- North Texas SC2-3Colorado Rapids II
- North Texas SC2-2Colorado Rapids II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids II 1449 · North Texas SC 1478
| Colorado Rapids II | Draw | North Texas SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Colorado Rapids II: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colorado Rapids II | North Texas SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.4 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids II 3–2–1 North Texas SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | North Texas SC |
| 08/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 03/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 19/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | North Texas SC |
| 21/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 02/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 21 | 62 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 56 |
| 3 | Ventura County FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 34 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo II | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 45 | 45 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 38 | 44 |
| 7 | Minnesota United FC II | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 40 | 42 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 40 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 43 | 39 |
| 10 | The Town | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 36 | 39 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 58 | 30 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 60 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 73 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 51 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colorado Rapids II | North Texas SC |
|---|---|---|
| Austin FC II | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Minnesota United FC II | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Ventura County FC | 2-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 4-1 W | 4-1 W |
| St Louis City II | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Los Angeles FC II | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Tacoma Defiance | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Houston Dynamo II | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 2 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: North Texas SC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
North Texas SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/09 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 20/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an North Texas SC win (40%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids II 35%, draw 25%, North Texas SC 40%.
How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas SC?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Colorado Rapids II 1.49 · North Texas SC 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas SC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.