Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 20/09, 23:00
Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps II vs The Town
Team pages: Vancouver Whitecaps II · The Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Vancouver Whitecaps II1.63
The Town2.2
1X2
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Draw
The Town
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Vancouver Whitecaps II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
The Town
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vancouver Whitecaps II
2–4
The Town
(6 last)
- Vancouver Whitecaps II3-2The Town
- The Town6-1Vancouver Whitecaps II
- The Town2-1Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II3-1The Town
- The Town2-1Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II0-1The Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1473 · The Town 1468
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | Draw | The Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| Market | 27% | 23% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours The Town: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | The Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Whitecaps II 2–0–4 The Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 3-2 HT 1-1 | The Town |
| 09/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 6-1 HT 3-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 02/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 13/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 3-1 HT 1-1 | The Town |
| 10/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 16/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | The Town |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 21 | 62 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 56 |
| 3 | Ventura County FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 34 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo II | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 45 | 45 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 38 | 44 |
| 7 | Minnesota United FC II | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 40 | 42 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 40 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 43 | 39 |
| 10 | The Town | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 36 | 39 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 58 | 30 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 60 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 73 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 51 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vancouver Whitecaps II | The Town |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC II | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Los Angeles FC II | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Austin FC II | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Tacoma Defiance | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| St Louis City II | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Ventura County FC | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: The Town (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 31/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
The Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/09 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 03/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs The Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an The Town win (50%). Probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps II 28%, draw 22%, The Town 50%.
How many goals are expected in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs The Town?
The model expects 3.83 goals (Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.63 · The Town 2.2), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs The Town?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.