Prediction: Ikorodu City FC vs Barau FC
Team pages: Ikorodu City FC · Barau FC
- Ikorodu City FC2-2Barau FC
- Barau FC1-0Ikorodu City FC
- Ikorodu City FC2-0Barau FC
| Ikorodu City FC | Draw | Barau FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 58% | 27% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barau FC (rating 1482 vs 1548).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ikorodu City FC | Barau FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.1 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/29/14% | 67/33/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.2 | 5.5 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ikorodu City FC 1–1–1 Barau FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/26 Nigeria Cup | Ikorodu City FC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Barau FC |
| 02/02/26 Nigeria Premier League | Barau FC | 1-0 | Ikorodu City FC |
| 14/09/25 Nigeria Premier League | Ikorodu City FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Barau FC |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doma United | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Barau FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Rivers United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Ranchers Bees | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Bendel Insurance | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Kwara United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Kano Pillars | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Enugu Rangers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Niger Tornadoes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Plateau United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Katsina Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Sporting Lagos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Shooting Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Nasarawa United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Abia Warriors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ikorodu City FC | Barau FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ranchers Bees | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Enugu Rangers | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Katsina Utd | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Kun Khalifat FC | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Barau FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ikorodu City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 05/05 | Wikki Tourists Nigeria Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 11 | D |
Barau FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | El Kanemi Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Remo Stars Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/03 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ikorodu City FC vs Barau FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ikorodu City FC win (59%). Probabilities: Ikorodu City FC 59%, draw 27%, Barau FC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Ikorodu City FC vs Barau FC?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Ikorodu City FC 1.69 · Barau FC 0.74), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Ikorodu City FC vs Barau FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.