Football · Nigeria Premier League · 27/09, 17:00
Prediction: Ikorodu City FC vs Enugu Rangers
Team pages: Ikorodu City FC · Enugu Rangers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Ikorodu City FC1.65
Enugu Rangers0.82
1X2
Ikorodu City FC
Draw
Enugu Rangers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ikorodu City FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Enugu Rangers
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ikorodu City FC
0–4
Enugu Rangers
(4 last)
- Ikorodu City FC1-2Enugu Rangers
- Enugu Rangers2-1Ikorodu City FC
- Enugu Rangers2-0Ikorodu City FC
- Ikorodu City FC0-1Enugu Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ikorodu City FC 1465 · Enugu Rangers 1589
| Ikorodu City FC | Draw | Enugu Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enugu Rangers (rating 1465 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Enugu Rangers: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ikorodu City FC | Enugu Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/33/17% | 38/63/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.4 | 3.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ikorodu City FC 0–0–4 Enugu Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Nigeria Premier League | Ikorodu City FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Enugu Rangers |
| 21/12/25 Nigeria Premier League | Enugu Rangers | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ikorodu City FC |
| 03/02/25 Nigeria Premier League | Enugu Rangers | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ikorodu City FC |
| 25/09/24 Nigeria Premier League | Ikorodu City FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Enugu Rangers |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barau FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Enugu Rangers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Doma United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Bendel Insurance | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Kano Pillars | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Plateau United | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | Kwara United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Shooting Stars | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Ranchers Bees | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Ikorodu City FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Niger Tornadoes | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Abia Warriors | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 15 | Warri Wolves FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Nasarawa United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | Inter Lagos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | Katsina Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 19 | Kun Khalifat FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 2 |
| 20 | Enyimba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ikorodu City FC | Enugu Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Bendel Insurance | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Barau FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Ranchers Bees | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Katsina Utd | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Enugu Rangers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ikorodu City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 05/05 | Wikki Tourists Nigeria Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Enugu Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Bayelsa United Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Enyimba Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ikorodu City FC vs Enugu Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ikorodu City FC win (56%). Probabilities: Ikorodu City FC 56%, draw 27%, Enugu Rangers 17%.
How many goals are expected in Ikorodu City FC vs Enugu Rangers?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Ikorodu City FC 1.65 · Enugu Rangers 0.82), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ikorodu City FC vs Enugu Rangers?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.