Football · Nigeria Premier League · 23/09, 17:00
Prediction: Shooting Stars vs Katsina Utd
Team pages: Shooting Stars
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Shooting Stars1.57
Katsina Utd0.63
1X2
Shooting Stars
Draw
Katsina Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Shooting Stars
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Katsina Utd
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shooting Stars
1–3–2
Katsina Utd
(6 last)
- Katsina Utd1-0Shooting Stars
- Shooting Stars1-1Katsina Utd
- Katsina Utd1-0Shooting Stars
- Shooting Stars1-0Katsina Utd
- Katsina Utd2-2Shooting Stars
- Shooting Stars1-1Katsina Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shooting Stars 1507 · Katsina Utd 1507
| Shooting Stars | Draw | Katsina Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 27% | 14% |
| Market | 59% | 26% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Katsina Utd: 2-3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shooting Stars | Katsina Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | – / – |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/43/14% | //% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 4.8 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shooting Stars 1–3–2 Katsina Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Nigeria Premier League | Katsina Utd | 1-0 | Shooting Stars |
| 02/11/25 Nigeria Premier League | Shooting Stars | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Katsina Utd |
| 07/03/25 Nigeria Premier League | Katsina Utd | 1-0 | Shooting Stars |
| 21/10/24 Nigeria Premier League | Shooting Stars | 1-0 | Katsina Utd |
| 26/05/24 Nigeria Premier League | Katsina Utd | 2-2 | Shooting Stars |
| 10/12/23 Nigeria Premier League | Shooting Stars | 1-1 | Katsina Utd |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doma United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Barau FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Kano Pillars | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Rivers United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Enugu Rangers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Plateau United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Ranchers Bees | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Bendel Insurance | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Ikorodu City FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Abia Warriors | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Kwara United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | Nasarawa United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Katsina Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Sporting Lagos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Warri Wolves FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Inter Lagos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Kun Khalifat FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Enyimba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shooting Stars | Katsina Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Niger Tornadoes | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Barau FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Kwara United | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Enugu Rangers | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Shooting Stars (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shooting Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | El Kanemi Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | Remo Stars Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Katsina Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Bayelsa United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Enyimba Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shooting Stars vs Katsina Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shooting Stars win (59%). Probabilities: Shooting Stars 59%, draw 27%, Katsina Utd 14%.
How many goals are expected in Shooting Stars vs Katsina Utd?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Shooting Stars 1.57 · Katsina Utd 0.63), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shooting Stars vs Katsina Utd?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.