Football · Nigeria Premier League · 23/09, 17:00

Prediction: Rivers United vs Kun Khalifat FC

Team pages: Rivers United · Kun Khalifat FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Rivers United2.18

Kun Khalifat FC0.76

1X2

69% 20% 11%

Rivers United Draw Kun Khalifat FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Rivers United 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Kun Khalifat FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWDDLL

Head-to-head

Rivers United 2–0 Kun Khalifat FC (2 last)

Rivers United4-2Kun Khalifat FC
Kun Khalifat FC0-1Rivers United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rivers United 1573 · Kun Khalifat FC 1510

	Rivers United	Draw	Kun Khalifat FC
Our model	69%	20%	11%
Market	69%	21%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rivers United (rating 1573 vs 1510).
H2H favours Rivers United: 2-0-0.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rivers United	Kun Khalifat FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/17/17%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 9	– / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.33

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +23’	1.30	4.33	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rivers United 2–0–0 Kun Khalifat FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Nigeria Premier League	Rivers United	4-2 HT 3-2	Kun Khalifat FC
10/11/25 Nigeria Premier League	Kun Khalifat FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Rivers United

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Doma United	4	3	0	1	6	4	9
2	Barau FC	4	2	2	0	6	2	8
3	Kano Pillars	3	2	1	0	9	5	7
4	Rivers United	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
5	Enugu Rangers	3	2	1	0	7	4	7
6	Plateau United	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
7	Ranchers Bees	4	2	0	2	8	7	6
8	Bendel Insurance	4	2	0	2	7	6	6
9	Ikorodu City FC	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
10	Abia Warriors	4	1	2	1	4	6	5
11	Kwara United	4	1	1	2	5	4	4
12	Niger Tornadoes	4	1	1	2	5	6	4
13	Nasarawa United	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
14	Katsina Utd	3	1	1	1	2	4	4
15	Shooting Stars	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
15	Sporting Lagos	3	1	0	2	3	4	3
17	Warri Wolves FC	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
18	Inter Lagos	4	1	0	3	2	6	3
19	Kun Khalifat FC	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
20	Enyimba	3	0	0	3	1	5	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rivers United	Kun Khalifat FC
Nasarawa United	1-1 D	1-0 W
Warri Wolves FC	2-0 W	3-0 W
Plateau United	2-0 W	1-1 D
Wikki Tourists	3-2 W	3-1 W
Abia Warriors	3-0 W	0-0 D
Kano Pillars	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kun Khalifat FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rivers United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/09	Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
30/08	Plateau United Nigeria Premier League	2-0	2-0	8	2	W
24/05	Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W
10/05	Wikki Tourists Nigeria Premier League	1-1	3-2	16	3	W
03/05	Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W
19/04	Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/04	Plateau United Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
05/04	Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
29/03	Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League	3-2	4-2	–	–	W

Kun Khalifat FC

WWDWWWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
13/09	Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League	–	2-4	–	–	L
06/09	Barau FC Nigeria Premier League	–	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League	–	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	Wikki Tourists Nigeria Premier League	–	3-1	–	–	W
10/05	Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/04	Plateau United Nigeria Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
12/04	Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W
05/04	Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rivers United vs Kun Khalifat FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rivers United win (69%). Probabilities: Rivers United 69%, draw 20%, Kun Khalifat FC 11%.

How many goals are expected in Rivers United vs Kun Khalifat FC?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Rivers United 2.18 · Kun Khalifat FC 0.76), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rivers United vs Kun Khalifat FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.