Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 12/09, 10:00
Prediction: Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19
Team pages: Spezia U19 · Palermo U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Spezia U191.49
Palermo U191.11
1X2
Spezia U19
Draw
Palermo U19
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Spezia U19
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Palermo U19
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spezia U19
1–3–2
Palermo U19
(6 last)
- Palermo U191-1Spezia U19
- Spezia U193-1Palermo U19
- Palermo U192-1Spezia U19
- Spezia U190-0Palermo U19
- Palermo U190-0Spezia U19
- Spezia U190-2Palermo U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spezia U19 1507 · Palermo U19 1491
| Spezia U19 | Draw | Palermo U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Palermo U19: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spezia U19 | Palermo U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spezia U19 1–3–2 Palermo U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Palermo U19 | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Spezia U19 |
| 08/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Spezia U19 | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Palermo U19 |
| 19/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Palermo U19 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Spezia U19 |
| 23/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Spezia U19 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Palermo U19 |
| 10/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Palermo U19 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spezia U19 |
| 30/09/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Spezia U19 | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Palermo U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monopoli U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Bari U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Benevento U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Palermo U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Avellino U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Catanzaro U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Perugia U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ascoli U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Spezia U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Pisa U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Pescara U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Napoli U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Latina U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Salernitana U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spezia U19 | Palermo U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli U19 | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Pisa U19 | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Ternana U19 | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Perugia U19 | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Pescara U19 | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Crotone U19 | 2-1 W | 7-1 W |
| Monopoli U19 | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Palermo U19 (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spezia U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/03 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Palermo U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
3-1 | 7-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 02/04 | Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/03 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spezia U19 win (45%). Probabilities: Spezia U19 45%, draw 27%, Palermo U19 27%.
How many goals are expected in Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Spezia U19 1.49 · Palermo U19 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.