Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Venezia U19 vs Union Brescia U19

Team pages: Union Brescia U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Venezia U191.48

Union Brescia U191.43

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Venezia U19 Draw Union Brescia U19

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Venezia U19 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Union Brescia U19 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Venezia U19 4–2–0 Union Brescia U19 (6 last)

Venezia U191-1Union Brescia U19
Union Brescia U190-1Venezia U19
Venezia U190-0Union Brescia U19
Union Brescia U190-1Venezia U19
Venezia U194-2Union Brescia U19
Union Brescia U191-3Venezia U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Venezia U19 1473 · Union Brescia U19 1461

	Venezia U19	Draw	Union Brescia U19
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Venezia U19: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Venezia U19	Union Brescia U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 2.1	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:23 +89’	2.35	3.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Venezia U19 4–2–0 Union Brescia U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Venezia U19	1-1 HT 1-1	Union Brescia U19
29/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Union Brescia U19	0-1 HT 0-1	Venezia U19
01/03/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Venezia U19	0-0 HT 0-0	Union Brescia U19
07/12/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Union Brescia U19	0-1 HT 0-1	Venezia U19
11/05/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Venezia U19	4-2 HT 1-1	Union Brescia U19
23/12/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Union Brescia U19	1-3 HT 0-1	Venezia U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cremonese U19	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
2	Padova U19	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
3	Vicenza U19	2	1	1	0	4	1	4
4	Renate U19	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	Sampdoria U19	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
6	Modena U19	2	1	0	1	6	4	3
7	Venezia U19	2	1	0	1	6	5	3
8	Union Brescia U19	2	1	0	1	5	5	3
9	Virtus Entella U19	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
10	Cittadella U19	2	1	0	1	6	7	3
11	Mantova U19	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	Sudtirol U19	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
13	Lecco U19	2	0	1	1	0	4	1
13	Pro Vercelli U19	2	0	1	1	0	4	1
15	Reggiana U19	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	Udinese U19	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Venezia U19	Union Brescia U19
Padova U19	0-1 L	3-2 W
Renate U19	2-1 W	0-1 L
Sudtirol U19	0-1 L	1-3 L
Como U19	0-2 L	1-0 W
Albinoleffe U19	2-3 L	0-1 L
Udinese U19	2-4 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Union Brescia U19 (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Venezia U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Cremonese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
05/09	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	5-2	4	6	W
23/05	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
16/05	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
09/05	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
02/05	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/04	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/04	Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
11/04	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-3	3	1	L
04/04	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-4	1	4	L

Union Brescia U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	4-2	6	4	W
05/09	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
09/05	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
02/05	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
25/04	Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
18/04	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-4	3	1	L
11/04	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
04/04	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
21/03	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	3-2	1	4	W
14/03	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Venezia U19 vs Union Brescia U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Venezia U19 win (38%). Probabilities: Venezia U19 38%, draw 26%, Union Brescia U19 36%.

How many goals are expected in Venezia U19 vs Union Brescia U19?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Venezia U19 1.48 · Union Brescia U19 1.43), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Venezia U19 vs Union Brescia U19?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.