Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Modena U19 vs Sampdoria U19

Team pages: Modena U19 · Sampdoria U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Modena U191.78

Sampdoria U191.34

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Modena U19 Draw Sampdoria U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Modena U19 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWDDWLWL

Sampdoria U19 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLWWDW

Head-to-head

Modena U19 1–1 Sampdoria U19 (2 last)

Modena U191-0Sampdoria U19
Sampdoria U195-1Modena U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Modena U19 1514 · Sampdoria U19 1545

	Modena U19	Draw	Sampdoria U19
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Modena U19	Sampdoria U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	1.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:45 +10’	1.91	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Modena U19 1–0–1 Sampdoria U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Modena U19	1-0 HT 1-0	Sampdoria U19
20/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Sampdoria U19	5-1 HT 4-0	Modena U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cremonese U19	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
2	Padova U19	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
3	Vicenza U19	2	1	1	0	4	1	4
4	Renate U19	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	Sampdoria U19	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
6	Modena U19	2	1	0	1	6	4	3
7	Venezia U19	2	1	0	1	6	5	3
8	Union Brescia U19	2	1	0	1	5	5	3
9	Virtus Entella U19	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
10	Cittadella U19	2	1	0	1	6	7	3
11	Mantova U19	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	Sudtirol U19	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
13	Lecco U19	2	0	1	1	0	4	1
13	Pro Vercelli U19	2	0	1	1	0	4	1
15	Reggiana U19	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	Udinese U19	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Modena U19	Sampdoria U19
Pro Vercelli U19	4-0 W	4-1 W
Como U19	3-1 W	1-2 L
Virtus Entella U19	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Modena U19 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Modena U19

DDWWDDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	2-4	6	3	L
05/09	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-0	4-0	3	5	W
30/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-3	6	1	L
23/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
16/05	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	14	6	D
09/05	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
02/05	Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
25/04	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
18/04	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
11/04	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	3	1	D

Sampdoria U19

WLDLWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	3-1	3	7	W
05/09	Mantova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-0	5	1	D
09/05	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-1	4	10	W
02/05	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	4-1	6	3	W
25/04	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
18/04	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
11/04	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	2-3	6	8	L
04/04	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
21/03	Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
14/03	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	3-2	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Modena U19 vs Sampdoria U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Modena U19 win (47%). Probabilities: Modena U19 47%, draw 25%, Sampdoria U19 28%.

How many goals are expected in Modena U19 vs Sampdoria U19?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Modena U19 1.78 · Sampdoria U19 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Modena U19 vs Sampdoria U19?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.